NEUSFA 2025 Pomme De Terre

Senior Women's Épée

Saturday, June 14, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Brandeis University - Waltham, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
2 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42%
3 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 25%
3 FENG Ge 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
5 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
6 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 11%
7 SONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
8 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 39%
9 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
10 CALDWELL Phoebe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
11 SMUK Daria A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
12 GAAFAR Rodaina 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
13 XU Serena 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
14 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
15 LI Alice 100% 98% 85% 48% 12% 1%
16 BISONO Valentina 100% 96% 60% 18% 2% -
17 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
18 TOLLEY Toby 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
19 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22% 2%
20 DEPOMMIER-GONZALEZ Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
21 SKLAR Davida 100% 94% 67% 24% 2% -
22 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 100% 97% 62% 16%
23 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 4%
24 LI Fei 100% 100% 99% 82% 34%
25 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 100% 93% 62% 21% 3% - -
26 ORDORICA Abra 100% 95% 61% 21% 4% - -
28 SAVNER Jessica L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 25%
29 CAMPBELL Anahit M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 58% 15%
30 SONG Charlotte 100% 61% 13% 1% - -
31 SU Evelyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
32 NGUYEN Celena 100% 97% 77% 33% 6% - -
33 YU Eva 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
34 COVINO Mila 100% 59% 16% 2% < 1% -
35 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% -
36 KAUR Manroop 100% 100% 95% 69% 25% 3%
37 DUNNE Jessica 100% 75% 31% 5% - -
38 WESER Veronica U. 100% 100% 98% 68% 20%
39 ERSHOVA Anastasia 100% 97% 70% 25% 3% -
40 GIELEGHEM Klaire 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
41 ZULUAGA Sofia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 10%
42 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
43 DRON Lily 100% 100% 98% 76% 37% 9% 1%
44 CHOWRIRA Reynah 100% 73% 26% 4% - - -
45 KLAUSZ Izabella 100% 92% 20% 2% - - -
46 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
47 FENG Iris 100% 96% 71% 28% 2% -
48 CHOY Ida 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 3%
48 BI Michelle 100% 92% 60% 22% 3% -
50 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 49%
51 MARCHANT Morgan 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% -
52 XIAO Katelyn 100% 92% 57% 18% 2% - -
53 GUO Callista 100% 94% 58% 20% 4% - -
54 LI Yixin Catherine 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 4% -
55 BENNETT Olivia 100% 100% 93% 65% 22% 3% -
56 BYRON Karen J. 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
57 WITTE Vera 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 25%
58 LIU Ilana 100% 60% 16% 2% - - -
59 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 96% 70% 18% 2% -
60 MURTALA Aisha 100% 41% 3% - -
61 JENSEN MJ 100% 96% 75% 34% 7% -
62 MASTRONARDI Laura 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% -
63 MONTOYA Amy C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
64 BARMAN Willa 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
65 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 98% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
66 JONES Brenda L. 100% 100% 99% 83% 43% 11% 1%
67 GLOVER Cynthia E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34% 5%
67 STOCKTON Catherine 100% 79% 32% 6% - - -
69 LE NOC’H Farrah 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
70 ERIKSEN Kate 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
71 CARNEY Jennifer 100% 38% 6% 1% - - -
72 QUADRI Saira 100% 70% 11% 1% -
73 CUFF Addison 100% 32% 4% - - - -
74 SCHAU DeHavilland 100% 66% 16% 1% - -
75 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 100% 26% 3% - - -
76 DIOH Nicole 100% 11% - - - - -
77 MA Yanlei 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
78 DANNHAUSER Carol A. 100% 82% 39% 8% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.