Event Results
ROC - Portland OctoberSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MUSHA John M. | V V V V V | V V V V | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 2 | STRUGAR Marcus A. | D D V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 3 | PHILLIPS Konon | V V D V | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 3 | SKYWARK Andrew | D V V V D | V V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 5 | BERK Theodore | V V V V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 6 | JIN Honggu | V V V V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 7 | PHILLIPS Jasper | V V V D V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 8 | JONES Bryan T. | V V D D | V D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 9 | MAKO Kieran | D V D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 10 | KIM Jackson | D V D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 11 | FERRARI Giovanni | D D D V V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 12 | BOSELEY Owen | D D V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 13 | DEMEAUX Gregory | V D D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 14 | DRUMHELLER H. Weston | D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 15 | MCCARTHY Seamus | D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 16 | DAVIS Daniel | D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |