Manchen Friday Night Foil Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Friday, June 20, 2025 at 6:15 PM

Manchen Academy of Fencing - Whitehouse Station, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIGOS Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
2 EYER Hailey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 WONG Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
3 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
5 DEEB Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
6 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
7 O'LEARY Colin 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 5% -
8 PECK Quinn 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
9 REZNICK Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
10 KUO Phineas 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8% -
11 MARTIN Mason 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 7%
12 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 2%
13 MUNDAHL Brandon 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
14 FALCONE Jack 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
15 BASILE Gianna 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
16 ANGELOS Nico 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% -
17 OLAWOYE Jadesola 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
17 SHICK Veronika 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
19 JANNEY Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8%
20 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 6% -
21 KIM Aiden 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
22 D'ALONZO Jake 100% 97% 61% 20% 3% - -
23 YANG David 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
24 POLEPALLI Vinil 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3% -
25 MURPHY Damian 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% -
26 MA Emily(Yiming) 100% 94% 65% 22% 1% -
27 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
28 PEREZ Logan 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8% -
29 ZHANG Julian 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
30 SANTHOSH Rithwik 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
31 BHATT Jayan 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% -
32 TAN Allen 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
33 COMO Gabriella 100% 15% 1% - - - -
34 MACARENO Luis 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.