The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2019 Volunteer Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 9, 2019 at 1:30 PM

Tennnessee Recreation Center for Students - Knoxville, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARCELEWICZ John M. - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
2 CRANE Matthew T. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
3 WEBSTER Davis G. - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
3 SELF Mark A. - 2% 15% 38% 36% 8% < 1%
5 BOGART Drake R. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
6 CILENTI Maria 1% 5% 18% 30% 29% 14% 3%
7 MATTSON Rachel - 3% 14% 31% 34% 15% 2%
8 YOHANON Jether 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
9 MCGRATH Russell D. - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
10 MIDDEKE Devin - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 6%
11 LEE Hunter - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
12 STANCZAK Niall - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
13 BAIONE Stephanie R. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
14 WHITLEY Gary L. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
16 RICKMAN II Samuel B. 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 2% -
18 OTERO Dante - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
19 COPELAND Raymond 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
20 WHITTEN Daniel - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
21 CLAPP Ian 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
22 BERNART Katharine 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
24 SHELANDER Connor 16% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
25 LILLISTON Ian 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
25 CHUMNEY Ben 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
27 MIRSAIDOVA Azizakhon 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
28 ADAMS Noah 8% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.