2019 Volunteer Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 9, 2019 at 1:30 PM

Tennnessee Recreation Center for Students - Knoxville, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
2 CRANE Matthew T. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
3 WEBSTER Davis G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
3 SELF Mark A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 8% < 1%
5 BOGART Drake R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
6 CILENTI Maria 100% 99% 94% 76% 46% 17% 3%
7 MATTSON Rachel 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 2%
8 YOHANON Jether 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
9 MCGRATH Russell D. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
10 MIDDEKE Devin 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
11 LEE Hunter 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
12 STANCZAK Niall 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
13 BAIONE Stephanie R. 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
14 WHITLEY Gary L. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
16 RICKMAN II Samuel B. 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
18 OTERO Dante 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
19 COPELAND Raymond 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
20 WHITTEN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
21 CLAPP Ian 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
22 BERNART Katharine 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
24 SHELANDER Connor 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% - -
25 LILLISTON Ian 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
25 CHUMNEY Ben 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
27 MIRSAIDOVA Azizakhon 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
28 ADAMS Noah 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.