NIFC Summer Women's and Mixed Epee + Sabre

Mixed Saber

Sunday, June 22, 2025 at 10:45 AM

Northwest Indiana Fencing Club - St. John, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SANABRIA Enrique 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
2 NEED William 100% 98% 83% 49% 18% 4% -
3 COOK Aaron N. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 2%
3 EVERS Kyle 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
5 HENSLEY Aaron T. 100% 100% 99% 78% 34% 6%
6 SCHOON Rebecca 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
7 TESTROET Aubrey 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
8 HEATH Katy 100% 94% 68% 29% 5% -
9 POND Aidan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 2%
10 LAWRENCE Nikolai 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
11 KIRSCHENHEITER John 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
12 SHI Ryan 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
13 DING Yuchen 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
14 VARELA Serena 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
15 VARELA Lara 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 7% 1%
16 FITZGERALD Aidan 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
17 JONES Lance 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
18 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 86% 50% 15% 2% - -
19 MISIOURA Mark 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
20 DOWNS Logan 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.