NIFC Summer Women's and Mixed Epee + Sabre

Mixed Épée

Sunday, June 22, 2025 at 12:45 PM

Northwest Indiana Fencing Club - St. John, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRANNON Nathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
2 BUTTA Reese 100% 85% 45% 11% 1% < 1%
3 KIRSCHENHEITER John 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
3 NEED William 100% 99% 91% 57% 13% 1%
5 GLEASON Cole 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
6 FITZGERALD Aidan 100% 99% 86% 46% 12% 1%
7 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
8 VARELA Lara 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
9 PAPP Mike 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
10 CASH Max 100% 100% 91% 42% 8% -
11 YETSKO Donald R. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
12 FAUGHT Dalton 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1%
13 TACKE Christopher 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 2%
14 COWLES Trinity 100% 94% 67% 25% 4% -
15 COOK Aaron N. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
16 DYRKACZ Alex 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
17 VARELA Serena 100% 100% 96% 67% 16% 1%
18 DOWNS Logan 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
19 SANABRIA Enrique 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
20 JONES Lance 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
21 POND Aidan 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
21 BUTTA Robert 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
23 HEATH Katy 100% 94% 53% 16% 2% - -
24 SCHOON Rebecca 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
25 DOWNS Heather 100% 95% 65% 22% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.