National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Vet-40 Men's Foil

Saturday, June 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GROSS Liran - - - - - 18% 81%
2 PAI Dong-Ying - - - 2% 25% 74%
3 JAN Stephen - - - 2% 20% 67% 12%
3 MORENO BRIONES Patricio A. - - - - 5% 95%
5 BERBERI Matt 2% 26% 41% 24% 6% < 1%
6 KUZMAK Michael J. 1% 11% 35% 42% 11%
7 GLOZMAN Pasha - - 5% 29% 54% 12%
8 WOOD Alexander W. - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
9 KREIDMAN Michael J. - - - 4% 91% 5%
10 TOMASI John 6% 30% 43% 19% 2%
11 PASHBY Stephen N. - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
12 BHATT Jay 1% 10% 42% 39% 9% -
13 DUANE Michael 18% 43% 31% 8% -
14 MILLER Douglas S. - 1% 8% 36% 56%
15 CARRINO David 5% 27% 41% 23% 4% - -
16 CROWE Nathan 20% 54% 23% 3% - -
17 RODRIGUEZ VINCENT 4% 25% 45% 24% - -
18 MA Yi 1% 20% 41% 30% 7% - -
19 BABER Ijlal 4% 23% 45% 27% 1% -
20 MCGINTY Eli G. - 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
21 CLIPPARD Erik J. 3% 22% 42% 28% 5% - -
22 FROST Talon 33% 46% 19% 3% -
23 MCCONKEY Eric - 9% 38% 42% 10% -
24 PHO Eric - 10% 33% 37% 17% 2%
25 MARTZ Michael 81% 17% 1% - - -
26 FRASER Justin 28% 45% 23% 4% - -
27 HOLCOMB Michael 58% 35% 7% - - - -
28 DERBY Joshua (Josh) C. - 1% 9% 35% 46% 8% -
29 WILLIAMS Brian 59% 36% 5% - - -
31 CHANDLEE Thomas 22% 46% 27% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.