National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, June 29, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DERSHWITZ Eli R. - - - - - 3% 97%
2 RIGHTLER Samuel - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
3 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 4% 27% 68%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
5 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - 2% 20% 79%
6 KIM Shaun M. - - 4% 22% 47% 27%
7 TE VELDE Noah C. - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
8 LIM William J. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
9 LIN Daniel - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
10 BOOTH Zaheer - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
11 MICLAUS Justin - 1% 6% 20% 33% 29% 11%
12 PAN Jerry - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 17%
13 KANG Evan R. 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
14 ANTHONY Devyn V. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
15 BERRIO Carter E. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
16 WANG Nicolas - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
17 WOOD Elden S. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
18 ANDREEV Ilia - - 2% 15% 44% 38%
19 WITEK Bernard J. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
19 PRIMUS Nazir - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
21 CHOI Silas - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
22 CHON Taylor A. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
23 BERA Enzo 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
24 TSE Aiden J 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
25 SU Landon 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10% -
25 PINTO Marcus 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
27 LIN Maxim 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
28 WALKER Dalton F. - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
29 YAO JINTAO - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
30 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 5% 18% 34% 32% 12% -
31 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
31 YAN William 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
33 YEN Darren - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
34 LEE Aydan J. - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
35 GUFFEY Christopher 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
36 WONG Ryan - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
37 SAHAY Kenji 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
37 HENDERSON Lucas 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
39 NG Jonathan 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
40 ESCUETA Tony V. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
41 HONG Rubin - 4% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
42 GHAYALOD ansh - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
43 ELBAKRY Ahmed - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
44 WANG ANDREW CHANG - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
45 DENNER Max P. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
46 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - 5% 24% 47% 23%
47 SUBA Lucas 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
48 HU Chris - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
49 CHEONG Heonjun 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 10%
50 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
51 HUANG Alex F. - 2% 12% 32% 37% 15% 2%
52 BAUER Hank E. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
53 VAID Luke - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
54 LI Howard - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
55 KWALWASSER Eric - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
56 SO Si Hang Alvin 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
57 WANG Daniel 3% 18% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
58 OH Triton - 4% 22% 43% 26% 5%
59 LIU Kevin 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
60 FELDMAN Drew 6% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
61 SIERADZKY Dawson - - < 1% 2% 13% 38% 46%
62 LAUB William 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
63 PEREZ FOURCADE Cristobal 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
64 KATZ Ryan 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
65 HUANG Ethan F. - - 4% 20% 42% 32%
66 SO Hananiah - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7%
67 HOLZ Daniel - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
68 GONZALEZ Jake 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
69 ROBERTS Sam - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
70 BOSITA Carson 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2% -
71 RAMANAN Jaisimh 2% 16% 37% 34% 10% 1%
72 CHEN Samuel 7% 26% 37% 24% 6% -
73 ATWOOD Griffin 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
74 MATTOO Deven 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
75 WILSON Jude - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
75 JOO Jeein - 4% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
77 YAO JINCHENG - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 8%
78 LIN Philip T. 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
79 MCCARTHY Gabriel 4% 17% 32% 29% 15% 4% -
80 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
81 PASTORE LIU Vince 3% 15% 34% 34% 14% 1%
82 WESLER Logan A. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3%
83 WANG Samuel 4% 23% 44% 25% 5% -
84 HWANG Jayden 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
85 ROE Finnegan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
86 ANDRES Michael 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
87 CRAIG Samuel 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
88 FIELDS Matthew S. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
89 PI Alexander - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
90 KILARI Krish 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
91 LEE Noah 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
92 STAMIS Kyle 33% 44% 20% 3% -
93 XU William - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
94 KIM Kendrick 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
95 PATEL Rayn 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
96 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 8% 33% 41% 16% 1%
97 SUN Andrew 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
98 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
99 LIN Felix 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
100 HJERPE Wade H. - - 4% 17% 35% 34% 10%
101 GONG Jerry 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
102 KIM Theodore 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
103 QIU Nathan - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
104 MAKLIN Edward P. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
105 HOLMES Aiden G. - 2% 11% 32% 41% 14%
106 YE Eric 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
107 BARRETO Elliott 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
108 DECK Tyson 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
109 RAMANAN Govind 3% 18% 35% 32% 12% 1%
110 JEFFORDS Alexander - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
111 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 27% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
112 STURGEON Cole 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
113 YANG Dylan 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
114 LI Yiwei 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
115 BIVIJI Ali 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
115 BARRIOS Diego 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
117 EYBELMAN Ariel 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
118 CHEEMA Hyder 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
119 ZHAO Lucas 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
120 TENG MATTHEW 12% 39% 37% 12% 1%
121 REN James 3% 20% 43% 32% 3%
122 CHON Collin 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
123 WANG William 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
123 YERRAMILLI Tejas 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
125 TAO Jeffrey - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
126 CHEN Jonathan 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
127 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
128 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
129 MUNGUIA Nathan 4% 21% 36% 29% 9% 1%
130 SCHARDINE James 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
131 HOLZ Lucas 15% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
132 ANAND Rohan 21% 47% 26% 5% - -
133 AL-NASSER Mahmoud 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
134 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2% -
135 GONG Alex 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
136 KIM ELIJAH 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
137 SLASTIN Andrew - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
138 HUBLALL Ethan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
139 SHANKWILER Christopher 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
140 POFF Kainoa 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
141 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
141 WONG Lucas 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
143 SADHU Neiyam 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
144 MEHAN Nicholas 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
145 LEE Andrew 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
146 GOLDIN Lucca 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
147 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 13% 32% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
148 TIAGI Daniel 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
149 NARDINI Nathanael P. 39% 45% 15% 2% - -
150 LI Ayden 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
151 ZHOU William 21% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
151 ZHANG Kaixuan 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
153 PIWOWAR Alex 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
153 YADAV Lakshya 39% 40% 17% 4% - - -
155 WAXLER Ryan 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
156 WANG Jerry 28% 43% 23% 5% - -
157 GREMILLION Obadiah 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.