National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, June 29, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DERSHWITZ Eli R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97%
2 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
3 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
5 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
6 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
7 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
8 LIM William J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
9 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
10 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
11 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 11%
12 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
13 KANG Evan R. 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
14 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
15 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
16 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 7%
17 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
18 ANDREEV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
19 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
19 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
21 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
22 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
23 BERA Enzo 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
24 TSE Aiden J 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
25 SU Landon 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% -
25 PINTO Marcus 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
27 LIN Maxim 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
28 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
29 YAO JINTAO 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
30 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% -
31 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
31 YAN William 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
33 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
34 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
35 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
36 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
37 SAHAY Kenji 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
37 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% -
39 NG Jonathan 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
40 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
41 HONG Rubin 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 3%
42 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 95% 80% 51% 20% 3%
43 ELBAKRY Ahmed 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
44 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
45 DENNER Max P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
46 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 23%
47 SUBA Lucas 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
48 HU Chris 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
49 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
50 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
51 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
52 BAUER Hank E. 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
53 VAID Luke 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
54 LI Howard 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
55 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
56 SO Si Hang Alvin 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
57 WANG Daniel 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
58 OH Triton 100% 100% 96% 74% 30% 5%
59 LIU Kevin 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
60 FELDMAN Drew 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
61 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 46%
62 LAUB William 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
63 PEREZ FOURCADE Cristobal 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
64 KATZ Ryan 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
65 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
66 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 7%
67 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
68 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
69 ROBERTS Sam 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
70 BOSITA Carson 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
71 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
72 CHEN Samuel 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
73 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
74 MATTOO Deven 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
75 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
75 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
77 YAO JINCHENG 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 8%
78 LIN Philip T. 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
79 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
80 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
81 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
82 WESLER Logan A. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
83 WANG Samuel 100% 96% 74% 30% 5% -
84 HWANG Jayden 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
85 ROE Finnegan 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
86 ANDRES Michael 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
87 CRAIG Samuel 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
88 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
89 PI Alexander 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
90 KILARI Krish 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
91 LEE Noah 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
92 STAMIS Kyle 100% 67% 23% 3% -
93 XU William 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
94 KIM Kendrick 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
95 PATEL Rayn 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
96 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 92% 58% 17% 1%
97 SUN Andrew 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
98 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
99 LIN Felix 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
100 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
101 GONG Jerry 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
102 KIM Theodore 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
103 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
104 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
105 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
106 YE Eric 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
107 BARRETO Elliott 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
108 DECK Tyson 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
109 RAMANAN Govind 100% 97% 79% 44% 12% 1%
110 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
111 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
112 STURGEON Cole 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
113 YANG Dylan 100% 97% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
114 LI Yiwei 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
115 BIVIJI Ali 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
115 BARRIOS Diego 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
117 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
118 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
119 ZHAO Lucas 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
120 TENG MATTHEW 100% 88% 49% 12% 1%
121 REN James 100% 97% 77% 35% 3%
122 CHON Collin 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 1%
123 WANG William 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
123 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
125 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
126 CHEN Jonathan 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
127 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
128 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
129 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
130 SCHARDINE James 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
131 HOLZ Lucas 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
132 ANAND Rohan 100% 79% 32% 5% - -
133 AL-NASSER Mahmoud 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 8% 1%
134 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
135 GONG Alex 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
136 KIM ELIJAH 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
137 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
138 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
139 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
140 POFF Kainoa 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
141 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
141 WONG Lucas 100% 93% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
143 SADHU Neiyam 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
144 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1% -
145 LEE Andrew 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
146 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
147 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 87% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
148 TIAGI Daniel 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
149 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 61% 16% 2% - -
150 LI Ayden 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
151 ZHOU William 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
151 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
153 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
153 YADAV Lakshya 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
155 WAXLER Ryan 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
156 WANG Jerry 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
157 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.