National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, June 29, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
2 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
3 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
5 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
5 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
7 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
8 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35%
9 LENTINI Francesca Romana 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
10 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 99% 82% 44% 10%
11 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
12 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
13 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 23%
14 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
15 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
16 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
17 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
18 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 4%
18 GONG Joy 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
20 JEON Yuju 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 38%
21 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
22 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
22 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45%
24 ONG Lauren 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
25 DHAR Layla 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
26 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
27 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
28 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
29 YUEN Nicole 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 1%
30 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
31 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
32 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
33 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
34 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
35 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
36 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
37 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
37 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
39 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
40 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
41 WANG Callie 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 10%
41 WANG YIZHEN 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
43 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 4%
44 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
45 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
46 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
47 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
48 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 11%
49 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
50 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 6% -
51 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
52 JOHNSON Neema 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
53 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 99% 84% 46% 11%
54 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
55 NAYAK Esha 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
56 YU Holly 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
57 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
58 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
59 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
60 TEYSSIER Katherine 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
61 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
62 KU Chloe 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
63 CASTELO Soleil 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
64 SUNG Olivia 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
65 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 7% < 1%
65 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
67 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
67 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
69 SHI Julia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
70 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 8%
71 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
72 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
73 ZHAI AMY 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
74 CONG Anne 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
75 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
76 LIU Kelly 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
77 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
78 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
79 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
80 KWON Hannah 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
81 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
82 LIN Annika 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
83 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
83 HSU Leah 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
85 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
86 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
87 CHANG Norah 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
88 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
88 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
90 YU Skylar 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
91 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 4%
91 HSIEH Lucia 100% 95% 63% 24% 5% 1% -
93 ARNOLD Hali 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 9% 1%
94 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
95 OCA Merci 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9% 1%
96 HU Michelle 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 7% 1%
97 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 18% 3%
98 YANG Lea 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
98 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
100 NGUYEN Siena 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
101 CROOKS Riley 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
102 LO Chloe 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1%
103 LIU Sydney 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 17%
104 LI Jiayi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
105 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
106 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
107 CHEN Elaine 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
107 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
107 YU Stella 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
110 JACHYMIAK Emilia 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
111 BARROSO Isabela 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
112 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
113 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
114 WANG Jiayi 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
115 SHMULER Fiona 100% 99% 89% 61% 28% 7% 1%
116 DONG Angel 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
116 STONE Coral 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
116 KIM Grace 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
119 DHAR Rana 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7% 1%
120 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
121 KAUL Tara 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
122 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
123 CHIANG Melissa 100% 98% 83% 46% 11% -
124 DAI Olivia 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
125 TANG Zhifei 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
126 HWANG Charlotte 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
127 PABIAN Emilia 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
128 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
129 MALLAMPATI Jaabili 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% < 1% -
130 LIU kai yin aria 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
131 YAM Danika 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
132 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
133 MAO Elsa 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
134 CARTER Keely 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
135 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
136 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
137 XIE Nora 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
138 SHEARER Alena 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
139 LEE Alyson 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% -
140 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8% 1%
141 NAIR Supriya 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
142 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
143 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 3%
144 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
145 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
146 BROWN Aria 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
147 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
148 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
149 ZHANG Ashley 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
150 NG Sophia 100% 91% 58% 18% 3% - -
151 TONG Laurie 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
152 SINGER Ellery 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
152 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
154 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
155 LI Sonia 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2% -
156 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
156 NGUYEN Summer 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
158 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
159 NANDA Maanika 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
159 MAO anna 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
159 HUANG Valencia 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
162 PADANILAM Lily 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
162 MAK Kaitlin 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
164 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
165 NGUYEN Madeleine 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
166 TAN Adelyn 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
167 ZHENG Valentina 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1% -
168 CALVIATI Ilaria 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
169 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
170 LITTLE Avery 100% 100% 98% 79% 39% 8%
171 LUKER Hannah 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
172 KIM Audrey 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
173 HAN Emma 100% 97% 75% 35% 9% 1%
174 WONG Charlene 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
175 TISSONE Veronica 100% 64% 21% 4% - -
176 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
177 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
178 KIRBY Skye 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
179 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
180 NAYAK Antara 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
181 COLBY Mercer 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
182 HU Anna 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
183 VINOKUR Anita 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
184 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
185 BARNES Sarah 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
186 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% 1%
186 MISHEV Lila 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
186 XIAO Cindy 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
189 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
189 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
191 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11% 1%
191 DEHON Inès 100% 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
191 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 98% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
194 ZHU Quanyue 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
195 WU Yuwei 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
195 LEE Lauren 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
195 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
198 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
199 WALLER London 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
200 ZHAN Sophie 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
201 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
202 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
202 PASUPULETI Laya 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
204 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 12%
204 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% -
206 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
206 CHEN Kevy 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
208 LI Alexis 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
209 LONG Jessie 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
210 KWON Ava 100% 99% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
211 XU Elaine 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
212 LIU Hannah 100% 93% 57% 19% 3% - -
213 MEFFORD Isadora 100% 25% 2% - - - -
214 HUANG Neila 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
215 LOURENCO Alexandra 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
215 MURPHY Jessica 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
217 CHANG Annette 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
218 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
219 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
220 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
221 MOON Claire 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% -
222 CHI Claire 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
223 NING Lynn 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
224 WONG Natalie 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
225 NARUT Zoe 100% 77% 19% 2% - -
226 VATS Ishita 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
227 MCAFEE Jada 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
227 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
229 REN Katherine 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
230 YANG Caroline 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
231 SADANI Jyotika 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
232 YAO Rainie 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
233 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8% 1%
234 MULLER Inara 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
235 FOSS Persephone 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
235 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 4% -
237 CHERON Helene 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% - -
238 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
239 POLSTON Ella 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
240 YADAV Tishya 100% 94% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
240 HUANG Pierra 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
242 BORGUETA Madison 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
242 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 5% -
244 XA-CHIN Sara 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
245 ASHTIANI Shaya 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
246 LIANG Claire 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
246 OH Chloe 100% 35% 5% - - - -
248 ZHAO Selena 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
249 CHIU Philippa 100% 36% 5% - - - -
250 HUSS Miriam 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
251 KIM Alexia 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
252 BORDAS HILL Georgiana 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% -
253 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
254 WILSON Eva 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% -
254 LU Angela 100% 37% 3% - - -
256 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 2% -
256 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
258 WONG Cerise 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
258 STADNIK Emilia 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
260 RANJAN Diya 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
261 GILLENTINE Madelyn 100% 15% 1% - - - -
262 LEE Kaitlin 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
262 JUDE Simona 100% 32% 4% - - -
264 KANG Soeun 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
264 FINN Lucy 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
266 DOLEV Rony 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
267 LIM Alexa J. 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
267 PROBASCO Leila 100% 98% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
269 KHOST Maeve 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
269 QUINN Anna 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
269 HAM Elizabeth 100% 51% 12% 2% - - -
272 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.