National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Vet-40 Men's Saber

Wednesday, July 2, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ELBAKRY Mahmoud - - - - 2% 98%
2 MILLER Douglas S. - 2% 23% 47% 25% 3%
3 LIU Jerry - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7%
3 FERRARO Pietro - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
5 CHANG William - 3% 16% 38% 34% 10%
6 TERENTIEV Max - 3% 19% 38% 31% 8%
6 ZHU Shirui - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
8 GREENE Joseph T. - 3% 21% 45% 31% -
10 KALLIO Jeffrey E. - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
11 ZIRKLE James - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
12 PLONKA Derek - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7%
13 LAUDICINA Matthew E. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 13%
14 CHEN Brian - 8% 46% 37% 9% 1%
15 WANG Xiaodong 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
15 ZONG Yujie 3% 39% 41% 15% 2% -
17 ROBLES Julio C. - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
18 ZHONG Meng 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
19 MAUREL Nicolas - 12% 40% 37% 10% -
20 WAXLER Aaron M. - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
21 BAILEY-YAVONDITTE Daniel C. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
22 BINSHTOK Max 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
23 TSUNG David - - 5% 31% 50% 14%
24 PENG Gregory 60% 36% 4% - - -
25 SEIDEL Jonathan J. - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
26 RICKERT Michael A. 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
27 WENGERHOFF Daniel B. 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
28 DIRSMITH Benjamin J. - 9% 34% 42% 15% -
29 WANG Albert 15% 42% 33% 9% 1% -
30 MOODY Paul J. 2% 28% 40% 23% 6% 1%
31 MILLS Matthew P. 27% 60% 12% 1% - -
32 MAK Carleton 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
33 CHERON Bruno 32% 42% 21% 5% - -
34 DESAUTELS Jonathan 36% 44% 17% 3% - -
35 BROWN Jeremy 27% 44% 23% 5% - -
36 MAI Weiquan 80% 19% 2% - - -
37 IERENKOV Oleksandr 84% 15% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.