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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Vet-40 Men's Saber

National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)Pool Heatmap

Wednesday, July 2, 2025 at 9:00 AM Baird Center · Milwaukee, WI, USA
37 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ELBAKRY Mahmoud 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98%
2 MILLER Douglas S. 100% 100% 98% 76% 28% 3%
3 LIU Jerry 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
3 FERRARO Pietro 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
5 CHANG William 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
6 TERENTIEV Max 100% 100% 97% 77% 39% 8%
6 ZHU Shirui 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
8 GREENE Joseph T. 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% -
9 REFAEE Ahmed Hamdy H. Missing ID
10 KALLIO Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
11 ZIRKLE James 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
12 PLONKA Derek 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
13 LAUDICINA Matthew E. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
14 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 92% 46% 9% 1%
15 WANG Xiaodong 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
15 ZONG Yujie 100% 97% 61% 19% 2% -
17 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
18 ZHONG Meng 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
19 MAUREL Nicolas 100% 100% 86% 46% 10% -
20 WAXLER Aaron M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
21 BAILEY-YAVONDITTE Daniel C. 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
22 BINSHTOK Max 100% 95% 69% 28% 6% -
23 TSUNG David 100% 100% 100% 95% 64% 14%
24 PENG Gregory 100% 40% 4% - - -
25 SEIDEL Jonathan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
26 RICKERT Michael A. 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
27 WENGERHOFF Daniel B. 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
28 DIRSMITH Benjamin J. 100% 100% 91% 56% 15% -
29 WANG Albert 100% 85% 43% 10% 1% -
30 MOODY Paul J. 100% 98% 69% 29% 6% 1%
31 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 73% 13% 1% - -
32 MAK Carleton 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
33 CHERON Bruno 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
34 DESAUTELS Jonathan 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
35 BROWN Jeremy 100% 73% 29% 6% - -
36 MAI Weiquan 100% 20% 2% - - -
37 IERENKOV Oleksandr 100% 15% 1% - - -