National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Women's Foil

Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VILLARAMA Kara 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
2 HAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
3 HOBSON Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
3 MAGALLANES GABRIELA 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
5 PARK Zena 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 40%
6 ANDONIAN Lauren 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
7 HAN Gian 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
8 HAN Mia 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
9 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
10 SHELTON Olivia 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
11 MORSE Katherine 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
12 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
13 CHO Karis 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
14 JIN Jada Y 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
15 LI Grace 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
16 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
17 TAYLOR Gabby 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
18 CHAN Ella 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
18 ZONG Melody 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
20 URDANETA LARGURA Sylvia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27%
21 HUGHES Liv 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
22 HSIAO Ariya 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
23 GOLLNICK Mira 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 15%
24 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
25 LIU Kiki 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
26 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 22%
27 BAULIN Zoya 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
28 COLE Sofia 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
29 MUHAMMAD Auset 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
30 GUO Audrey 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
31 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
32 KRYLTSOVA Eva 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
33 LAZAR Carolina 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
34 PEDERSEN Haley 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
35 LI Savannah 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
36 LIN Kenzie 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
37 DESAI Esha 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 2%
38 KATS Ekaterina 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
39 PUOPOLO Mia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
40 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
40 LIU Yinuo 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
42 SAH Madeleine 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
43 JACOB Norah 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
44 CHERNYKH Elina 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
45 ALKADI Mai 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
46 DING Madison 100% 99% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
47 ZHU Yunyao 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
48 DONG Emily 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
48 MANGLANI Maya 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
50 HOM Avery 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
51 DIRKES Catherine 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
51 IDANAWANG Madison 100% 98% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
53 OWEN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
54 LEWIS Rachel 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
55 XIONG Isabel 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
56 COLLINS Anna 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 4%
57 CAMPBELL June 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
58 MA Emily(Yiming) 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% 1%
59 BALIN Julia 100% 96% 76% 40% 13% 2% -
60 POWLEDGE Cora 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
61 TAN Shouyin 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
61 FERRONE Gianna 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
63 SULLIVAN Red 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
64 BROSNAN Lily 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
65 FAN Sophia 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
66 BLAKEY Heaven 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
67 WILLIAMSON Tessa 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
68 CHANG Nola 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
69 KIM Erin 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
70 ZHANG Queeny 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
71 BULAVA Tatyana 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
72 ZHANG Phoenix 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
73 NIRGUDE Esha 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
74 CHANG Janelle 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
74 OLAWOYE Jadesola 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
76 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
77 LIU Elinda 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
78 HARRIS Parker 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
79 MATTUPALLI Ashwika 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
80 LAVINE Samantha 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
81 LI Sophia 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
82 LAO Sophia 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
82 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
82 FEDER Acadia 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
85 LOVE Bri 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
86 KANG Marian 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
87 NICUDEMUS Bryella 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
88 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
89 KRAATZ Kira 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
90 SHIN Jaelynn 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
91 SHANG Arianna 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
92 SHERLOCK Gabriella 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
93 LI Chelsea 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
94 JENA Aanvi 100% 94% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
95 CHANG Olivia 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
96 SNYDERS Evelyn 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
97 SERRANO Jasmin 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
98 ZINITI-LAU Elena 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
99 TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
99 LEGGETT Emilia 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
101 CHOI Jordan 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
102 SAMALA Reese 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
103 BULLARD Sydney 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
104 KAZMIEROWSKI Chrissa 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
105 SHUSTA Lily 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
106 VENZON Makena Jane 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
106 DESAI Kanushi 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
108 LEE Allison 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
109 KOZINSKI Allison E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
110 GREENLEAF Ella 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
111 KOESTERS Florentine 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
111 RASH Reagan 100% 78% 36% 10% 1% - -
113 TSE Isabel 100% 93% 57% 19% 3% -
114 MOORE Addisyn 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
115 SHICK Veronika 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 6%
117 RIEGERT-JOHNSON Simone 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
118 CROMWELL Keira 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
119 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
120 FLANAGAN Sarah 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
121 ALVAREZ Isabella 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
122 ZHANG Jaffani 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
123 WU Elynna 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
124 BROWN Katelyn 100% 66% 18% 2% - - -
125 PEVZNER Sophia 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 8% 1%
126 LAW Shun Yu 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
127 JOHNSSON Emma 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
128 WISEMAN Margaret (Daisy) 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 20% 4%
129 TOMASI Samantha 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
130 LEZHANSKY Alexis 100% 84% 41% 11% 2% - -
131 KATZE Ashley 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
132 BALDWIN Aimi 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
133 CHRISTENSEN Nora 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
134 BIANCO Anna L. 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
135 CHENG Emma 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
136 KANG Annabella 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
137 CLAYTON Evelyn 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
138 SAUCEDO Fernanda 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
139 KUTATELADZE Anna 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
140 MALVESTUTO Evelyn 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
141 REESE Rebecca M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
142 VAN DE VELDE Cecile 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
142 KRONZER Sophia 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% - -
144 LYON Claire 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
145 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
145 WOERTER Therese-Margaret 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
147 HUNG Samara 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
148 RICE Maddie 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
148 MULLER Amara 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
150 LEMASTERS Elise M. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
150 QI Annabelle 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
152 ATTICKS Rachel 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
153 ATHOW Stephanie J. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
154 LEVANT Briea 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
155 PERRIN Emma 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
156 VINS Katherine 100% 90% 37% 7% 1% - -
157 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
158 KELLING Samantha 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
159 NEPAL Asha 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
160 HO Chloe 100% 65% 16% 2% - - -
161 SMITH Katherine E. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
162 BROWNING Ruby 100% 38% 6% - - -
163 TANAKAMARU-CROMWELL Miho 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
163 ARANGO PINEDO Catalina 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
165 LATIFI Fara 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
165 CROWE Talia 100% 81% 45% 16% 3% - -
165 AKINBAMIRO Pelu 100% 35% 5% - - - -
168 PARK Olivia 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
168 SPOHN Jaiden 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
170 HSIAO Jacqueline 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
172 CHEN Mikayla 100% 24% 2% - - - -
173 WANG hannah 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
174 RAMOS-VERSESCU Alicia 100% 79% 39% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.