National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-14 Men's Saber

Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOVALEV Daniil N. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
2 CRICOL Damian - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
3 NG Jonathan - - - - 3% 24% 74%
3 CAO Donald - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
5 SANCHEZ Jacob - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
6 OH Aster - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
7 CHAMBERS Miles - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
8 HWANG Jayden - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
9 TSE Aiden J - - - - 2% 19% 80%
10 LI Howard - - - - 1% 16% 82%
11 ANDRES Michael - - - 3% 16% 41% 41%
12 LEE Brady - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
13 KANG Matthew - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
14 WEI Rian - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
15 CRAWFORD William - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
16 LI Yidong A. - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 12%
17 XIAO Brayden - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 10%
18 MCDONALD Finn - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
19 LUC Cedric - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
20 TANI Tino - - - 2% 14% 44% 41%
21 SRIVATS Vedh - - 6% 28% 45% 20%
22 YANG Phillip - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
23 IM Tyler - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 25%
24 CLARK Aram - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
25 LIU Aaron - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
26 LEE Brian - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
27 KIM Yusung 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
28 BOLLU Viren - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
29 CHEN Cooper - 5% 23% 40% 26% 5%
30 BEKDJANOV Arthur - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
30 WONG David - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
32 LI Cooper - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
33 LAMTAN Christoffer - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
34 DOMINIQUE Remson - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
35 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
36 ZHANG Kaixuan - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
37 WONG Max - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
38 YOOK Isaac - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
39 HUANG Caleb - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
39 LUCAS William - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9%
41 ZHANG KAIQI - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
42 SASSI Ilyas - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
42 RINALDI Savio - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
44 BARENBOYM Michael - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
45 HWANG Hagan - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
46 CHAN Henry - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
47 MERMEGAS Alexander 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
48 ANAND Rishab - - 3% 20% 45% 31%
49 GRIGORIEV Roman - 1% 8% 30% 45% 16%
50 CHANG Ethan 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
51 LI Ayden - - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
52 LIU Ethan - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
53 WONG Mac - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
54 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
55 DAI Zihou - - 5% 20% 39% 29% 7%
56 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
57 MELE Gianni - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
58 KANG Jeremy - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10%
59 KANIA Alexander - 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
60 CHENHE YuHan - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
61 SALMAN Hamzah - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
62 DOOLEY Atticus - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
63 LEVY Jack 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
64 WANG Edward 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
65 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
65 KHANNA Adamantis - - - 1% 11% 42% 45%
67 AGARWAAL Yohan - - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
68 GU Andrew - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
69 ZHAO Royce - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
70 FENG Brendan - 1% 6% 21% 37% 30% 6%
70 BERKOWITZ Gavin - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
72 BEAL Colton 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
73 TANG Morgan - - 3% 20% 44% 28% 5%
74 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
75 BRUM Charles E. 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
76 AN Chris 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% < 1% -
77 LEE Winston 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% < 1% -
77 BROOKS Theo 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
79 BADMUS Joshua - 4% 14% 29% 32% 17% 3%
80 NARDINI Nathanael P. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
80 BROWN Andrew - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
82 WANG Tiger - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
83 LIU Yijin - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
83 LIU Daniel - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
85 LEE Nathan Uju 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
86 KAUL Ishaan 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
87 LOSQUADRO Joseph 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
88 SONG Aidan - 3% 20% 40% 29% 7% -
88 LIN Patrick 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
90 LIU ERIC - 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 2%
91 BAI Evan - - - 5% 25% 48% 21%
92 SLAVNOV Anton - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
93 KOZLOV Lucas - - - 6% 29% 47% 19%
93 ZHU Matthew - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 6%
95 LIU Guanyu 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
96 BUKZIN Alan - 4% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1%
97 HRISTOV Nickolas - 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
97 LEVY Daniel - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
99 LOO Jason - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
99 ONG Dylan - 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 4%
99 CHI Everett 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
102 LIU Victor - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
103 CHEN Kevin - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
104 SALDARINI Glenn - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
105 PERRIN Leo - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 6%
106 BOSITA Brennan - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
107 BURGESS Beckham - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
108 HENRY Cadel 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
109 IRVINE Patrick - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
110 WONG Ron - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
111 IYER Neil - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
112 PADANILAM Thomas 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
113 TASIKAS Peter 4% 21% 40% 27% 7% 1%
114 KITSON Chase - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
115 WANG Theodore 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
116 CHEN Shawn - 2% 14% 33% 35% 15% 2%
117 OU Rigel 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
118 LIAO Sirui - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
119 YANG Justin 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
120 LIANG Morgan - 1% 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
121 TRZEPLA Max - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
122 ROBINSON Ezra 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% - -
123 ISAYENKO Daniel - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
124 LIU Jayden 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
125 MENZIES Liam 10% 32% 37% 17% 4% - -
126 KUANG Cyrus 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
127 ZHANG Simon 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
128 NA Yuchan Zachary 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
129 GORDON Samuel - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 5%
130 BIVIJI Ali - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
131 KARAVAS Nicholas - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
132 WANG Alex - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
133 BIVIJI Adam - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
134 YU BOWEN - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
135 MBERIA Alexander - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
136 LIN Ethan 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
137 SUH Leo 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
138 KOVACHEV Martin - - 4% 19% 35% 31% 10%
139 JI Johnson - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
140 SRIVATSAV Anay 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 5% -
141 LORENZ Evan - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% -
142 ZWAKA Jonas - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
143 MATTOO Dhruv 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
144 ZHENG Lucas 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
145 LEE Ryan 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 7% 1%
146 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
146 KOREN George 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
148 SADHU Neiyam - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
149 WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
150 MIAO Heqi - 4% 20% 42% 28% 6%
151 LI Ryan 3% 20% 36% 29% 11% 1%
152 HUCHWAJDA Alex - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
153 WARD Carter 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
154 WINTERSET Mason - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
155 HU Harry - 1% 7% 25% 39% 23% 5%
156 LIN Brendan - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 1%
157 GATTO Enzo P. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
158 VISH Manyu 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
159 GUREVICH Benjamin - - 4% 18% 39% 34% 5%
159 LIEBOWITZ Carson - 4% 19% 37% 31% 10% -
161 LIN Alex - 4% 22% 40% 27% 6% -
161 SHAPIRO Leo - 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
161 WANG Ryan 3% 29% 40% 22% 5% 1% -
164 QI Jeremy 1% 12% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
164 VO Blake - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
166 NAIR Sujit - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
167 KANG Jayden 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
168 LIU Ryan 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
169 MEADE Liam R. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
169 KIM Suin 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
169 MOULTON Andrew 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
172 LYU Tyler 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
173 HERRERA Stefano 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
173 MOON Noah 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
173 PARIKH Saavn 4% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
176 KAMURA Kosei 1% 12% 35% 37% 13% 2% -
177 FUGATE Logan 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
178 CHAWLA Abhishek 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
179 STOLCKE Julian 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
180 WONG Reagan 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3% -
181 CHAVAN Aditya 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
181 TAYCHER Aaron 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
183 SAGE Nikolai 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
184 LEE Damian 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
184 CHEN Aaron 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
186 HOUPT Lucas 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
187 NAGRANI Jai 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
188 NAYAGAM Nishant 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 5% -
188 WANG James 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
190 NAFTALI Ori 5% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
191 YAO Zachary 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
192 PAK Andrew 4% 26% 43% 22% 4% -
193 KURIYAMA Marcus 47% 38% 12% 2% - -
194 FISCHER Noel 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
195 SOULES-ONO Makoa 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
196 YOUNG Navin 32% 42% 21% 5% - -
197 BURENKOV Matthew 3% 23% 40% 27% 6% -
198 FERRIS JR. Michael - 2% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
199 JOHNSON Leland - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
200 SRIVATSAV Ishaan - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
201 YU Ian - 2% 12% 32% 36% 15% 2%
202 AVERY Marcus - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
203 OREN Daniel 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 5% -
204 MOORE Greyson 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
205 CHING Grant 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
206 SUBA Mason 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
207 BROOKS Isaac 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
207 ORIE Sohan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
209 PAUL Jimmy 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
210 TENG Lucas 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
210 DUFF Michael 22% 39% 28% 9% 2% - -
212 TALLARICO Leonardo - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
212 WU Garrick 15% 45% 30% 9% 1% - -
214 SHAPIRO Simon 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
215 ZHANG Aiden 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
215 MASAKI Alex 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
217 TITOV Zachary 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
218 KONDOGI Saivarun 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
219 HO Alden 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
219 SINGH Swaran 51% 41% 8% 1% - - -
221 EKAMBARAM Rithik 9% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
222 VALENTINE Rhys 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
223 CHAN Troy Devon 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
223 HUANG Anthony 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
223 YANG Jake 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
226 BROOKS Drake 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
227 HAO Johnny 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
228 SHEN Hudson 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
229 KIM Connor 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -
230 LAU Kyrus 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
230 LI Michael 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% -
232 SUN Stephen 8% 28% 35% 22% 6% 1% -
233 ANUMULA Aryan - 1% 8% 24% 38% 25% 4%
234 DAYAMA Ronak 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
235 MANNINO Miller 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
236 SUN Eon 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
237 PADGETTE BRODY 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
238 PATEL Kiran 77% 21% 2% - - - -
239 SO Morgan 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
240 MINASIAN Mason - 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
241 ABADA lucca 3% 19% 39% 31% 8% 1%
242 SMITH Etienne 47% 40% 12% 1% - -
243 NGUYEN Ethan 44% 42% 13% 1% - -
244 CAO HAOTIAN 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
245 NAMBIAR Navin - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11% 1%
246 PIPKE Garrett 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
247 LU Simon 1% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
248 YUEN Caleb 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
249 LEIGH Brayden 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
250 SANTIAGO Roman 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
251 WELSTEAD Nicholas 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
252 MARTINSON Torm 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
253 ZHANG Lucas 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
254 EVANS Alexander 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
255 FREILICH Harrison 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
256 KOHLER Vaughn 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
257 SIERRA Gregory 4% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
257 GUO Jonathan 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
259 D'AMELJ Edoardo 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
259 VU Mark 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
261 KIM Derek 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
262 TAN Daniel 47% 38% 12% 2% - - -
262 NARAYAN Rishi 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
264 WOSTER Matthew (Mateo) 3% 20% 41% 29% 7% 1% -
264 CHEUNG Evan 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
266 HOWARTH Hayes 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
267 BRADIC Andreja 6% 44% 37% 12% 2% - -
268 ORLINO Sam 11% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
269 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 27% 45% 23% 4% - - -
269 HAHN EVER - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
269 KIM Enoch 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
272 HEIMOV Brennan 23% 44% 26% 6% - - -
272 MOORE Blaise 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
274 HARFORD Benjamin 64% 30% 5% - - - -
275 SETH Khalen 27% 44% 24% 5% - - -
276 BHADLIKAR Shaunak 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
277 CHOU Franklin - 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
277 YEAZEL Colin 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
279 HOLMES Xavier 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
280 KANG Nathan 39% 43% 15% 2% - - -
281 YPHANTIDES Alexander 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
281 POLSANI Gaurav 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
283 DEGUZMAN Holden 38% 42% 16% 3% - - -
284 PI Edwin 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
285 WU Vincent 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
286 DOSTAL Maximilian 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
286 MILLER Blake 15% 44% 33% 8% 1% -
288 STYS Owen 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
288 JAVIER Xavier 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
288 KAUFFMAN Davian 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
288 CLARK Brandon 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
292 KORZENIOWSKI Joseph 27% 45% 23% 5% - -
293 FAVO Christopher 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
293 LEE Shane Gunn 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
295 BRISENO Ethan 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
295 CHAN Ewan 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
295 LIEBISCH Milo 21% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
295 WANG David 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
295 RAVOOR Suvir 5% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
300 KANE Kiran 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
300 ZHANG Leaf 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
302 HUANG Jasper 12% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
303 ZHANG Caleb 14% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -
303 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
303 PEI Kent 21% 49% 25% 5% 1% - -
306 SHANKAR Rahm 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
306 VU Luke 71% 25% 3% - - - -
308 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 55% 37% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.