National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENG Grace - - - - 1% 19% 80%
2 PARK Lina - - - - 1% 17% 81%
3 YANG Audrey - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
3 ZOU Ella - - - - 4% 29% 67%
5 DENG Melissa - - - - 1% 13% 86%
6 THERON Zoe - - - 4% 21% 46% 29%
7 WANG CAROL - - - - 6% 31% 63%
8 LI Joy - - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
9 WANG Joanna - - - - 1% 21% 78%
10 REN Kayley - - - - 3% 26% 72%
10 LI Han (Helina) - - - - 4% 27% 69%
12 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite - - - 2% 23% 75%
13 JOO Natalie - - - - 6% 31% 63%
14 HO Addison - - - - 4% 30% 66%
15 MCSHERRY Kayla - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
16 ORRINGER Lottie - - 3% 17% 42% 33% 5%
17 BAE Yooju - - - - 4% 26% 70%
18 LIU Ariana - - - - 6% 38% 56%
19 POEI Lauren - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
20 MIYASHIRO Katelyn - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 1%
21 YANG Iris - - - - - 8% 92%
22 ZHANG Vivian - - 1% 12% 37% 41% 9%
23 SWANSON Alexa - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
24 BING Charlotte - - - 2% 12% 41% 45%
25 HSU Kaylin - - - - 1% 19% 80%
25 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 10%
27 CHANG Lydia - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15% 1%
28 CAO Kayla - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
29 SHIN Elizabeth - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 1%
30 KIM Claire - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
31 LUO Miranda - - - 4% 23% 54% 19%
32 HU Sophie - 1% 7% 24% 40% 24% 4%
33 LIU Enjia Sherry liu - - - - 5% 35% 60%
34 MCSHERRY Ava - - - - 1% 16% 82%
34 XIE Lillian - - - - 6% 35% 58%
36 ROBERTS Anastasia - - 2% 14% 37% 38% 8%
37 WANG Amabel - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
37 DIMATULAC Elise Ann - - - - 6% 33% 60%
39 YACOBUCCI Nadia - - - 5% 22% 46% 27%
39 FIELD Elizabeth - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
41 XING Melly - 2% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1%
42 ZONG Melody - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
43 FENG Audrey - - - - 6% 32% 62%
44 HOROWITZ Shuli - - 2% 13% 36% 38% 11%
45 LIU Ashley - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
46 LIU Samantha - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
47 PUTHOFF Olivia - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24%
48 FANG Kelervia - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
49 ZHANG Ivy - - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
50 HARRIS Julia - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
51 CULLIVAN Sienna - - 3% 18% 41% 31% 7%
52 BYK Karalina - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
53 MATTUPALLI Ashwika - 1% 8% 31% 40% 18% 3%
54 MUMMANENI Samyuta - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
55 SHENG Katherine - - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
56 MARISI Gianna - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
57 CHEN Renee - - - - < 1% 11% 88%
58 JIN Jada Y 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
59 TAO Ann - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 13%
60 PARK Lauren - - 5% 23% 41% 27% 4%
61 LIM Kensie - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
62 HSIAO Ariya 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
63 SWOPE Farren - - 5% 20% 38% 31% 7%
64 HAN Mia - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7% -
65 LEVESQUE Brielle - - 1% 7% 31% 46% 15%
66 LI Savannah - - 3% 19% 43% 31% 4%
67 PARK Zena - - - 3% 15% 42% 40%
68 MCFARLANE Asha - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
69 JOO Sara - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
70 CHAN Ella - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
71 BROWN Lola - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
71 KIM Erin - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 5%
73 CHOI Jion - - 2% 13% 37% 39% 9%
74 WANG DINA C. - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
75 LI Alice - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
76 DUAN Sophie - - - - 5% 35% 60%
77 ZHOU Joi - - - 4% 23% 52% 20%
77 NEUMANN Erika - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 2%
79 PECK Madeleine - 1% 8% 31% 43% 16% 1%
80 SAH Madeleine - 1% 7% 28% 41% 21% 1%
81 SOE Hayleigh - 1% 12% 38% 37% 11% 1%
82 EPSTEIN Naomi - 3% 21% 44% 30% 3%
83 OLAWOYE Jadesola - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
84 ZHAO Olivia - - 2% 12% 36% 41% 10%
85 YU Sophie - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
86 CHANG Olivia 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
86 HSU Rachel - 4% 18% 38% 32% 7% -
88 MAGALLANES GABRIELA - - 1% 8% 32% 47% 13%
89 LAVERY Lucy - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
90 CHAN Jolene - 2% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
91 SHANG Arianna 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
92 KIM Sydney - - - - 6% 31% 63%
92 SIROTA Francis - - - 4% 27% 58% 10%
92 LEE Jeemin - 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 2%
95 HARRIS Parker - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
96 GUO Audrey - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
97 KENSICKI Phoebe - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11% -
98 LIGERET Stella 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
99 SHEN Gloria 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
100 ZHANG Hannah 2% 17% 40% 32% 9% 1% -
101 GE Lena Lan - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11% 1%
102 KIM Natalie 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
103 TAN Dorathy - 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2%
104 ARYA Leela 1% 14% 37% 36% 11% 1% -
105 HUSSIAN Annabelle - 5% 20% 35% 30% 9% -
105 YAO Abby - 1% 7% 24% 40% 25% 3%
105 SMOLICH Emily 2% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1% -
108 KANG Marian - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 1%
109 ZELDIN Nadia - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
110 CHAN Mila - - 1% 8% 35% 49% 8%
111 LUCAS Ava 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 4% -
112 HUGHES Liv - - 1% 9% 34% 47% 9%
113 XIA Isabella 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
114 YONG Rosalind - - 1% 11% 35% 40% 12%
115 HUANG Natalie - 2% 11% 30% 37% 19% 1%
116 KRAHE Annika - - - 6% 25% 45% 24%
117 RIVERA Leahy - 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
117 YANG Olivia - 2% 16% 37% 34% 10% 1%
119 LAI Miranda - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18% 2%
119 DE CASTRO Kai - 1% 9% 26% 38% 23% 3%
119 SUN Nicole 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
122 FAN Sophia - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 1%
123 ZEE Savannah - 1% 7% 27% 41% 23% 3%
124 POLING Katherine 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 5% -
125 CHO Karis - 2% 13% 34% 36% 13% 1%
126 ZHENG Annalyn 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
127 LEE Zoe E. - 1% 11% 36% 42% 9% -
128 ZHANG Viviana - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
129 EYER Brooke - - - 5% 26% 52% 17%
130 WATSON Evelyn - - 5% 21% 41% 29% 4%
131 CHOI Cara 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
132 BO Iris - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
133 TELEB Farida - 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 2%
134 ZHU Ella - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
135 DENG Claire - 2% 17% 39% 32% 9% 1%
136 FEDER Acadia - 5% 26% 43% 22% 3% -
137 BALIN Julia 1% 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
138 KIM Lauren 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
139 LI Chelsea - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
140 LI Christina - 5% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
141 CAO Amelie - - 3% 16% 40% 36% 4%
142 LIN Allison 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% -
143 LLOYD Bianca - 6% 32% 42% 18% 1%
144 BOIKE Lucille - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28% 1%
145 KNAPP Isabella - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 2%
146 TAN Shouyin 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
147 SHUSTA Lily 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
148 LI Olivia - 1% 6% 26% 43% 21% 3%
149 YIN Chloe - - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
150 JENA Aanvi 2% 17% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
151 HOM Avery 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3% -
151 MA Isabelle - 1% 11% 36% 38% 12% 1%
153 DESERANNO Seren - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 1%
154 YANG Hanli 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
155 HONG ELSIE 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
156 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 2% 15% 36% 34% 11% 1% -
157 WANG Doreen - 5% 22% 39% 26% 7% 1%
158 YUNG Zoe 4% 28% 41% 22% 5% - -
159 MACKINTOSH Quinn 2% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1% -
160 SUN Erin 10% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
161 YANG Ava 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
161 KUTATELADZE Anna 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
161 LI Audrey 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
164 LIN Kenzie - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
165 SFINTESCU Emma 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
166 HAN Gian - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
167 LEE Abigail 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1% -
168 BAULIN Zoya 1% 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
169 JOESUF Thea 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
170 DUVVA Sanika 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
171 FRASER Morgan - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 2%
172 LIN Avery 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
173 MIYOSHI Kylie 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 2% -
174 FECHER Lily 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
175 SAMALA Reese - 6% 30% 43% 20% 1%
176 CHOI JULIE 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 2%
177 ESMONDE-WHITE Daphne 2% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
178 GOODMAN Carden 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
179 KOU Elisha 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
180 COLE Sofia 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
181 ZHANG Queeny 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
182 YOUM Amelia 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
182 LI Sophia 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5% -
184 NAFSOU Ava 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
185 CHERNYKH Elina - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
186 FOX Arcadia 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
186 HAYLETT Emily 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
188 WU Allison 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
188 ZALTZMAN Maya 10% 48% 34% 7% 1% - -
188 AHN Hayley 8% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
191 OS Danielle 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
191 MALIK Manha 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
193 SCHULTZ Sumi 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
193 WU Lorena 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
195 ETIKALA Saanvi 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
196 ZHANG Caroline 2% 17% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
197 LING Camryn 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
198 CERILO Bella 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
199 IDANAWANG Madison 5% 27% 40% 23% 5% - -
200 SINGH Evangelina - 3% 14% 34% 34% 13% 1%
200 HOLLIS Priscillia 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
202 ZHILKOV Anya - 4% 19% 38% 32% 7% -
202 ADLER Zoe 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
202 ZHANG Selina - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6% -
205 THOTA Akira 3% 29% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
206 HUFFMAN Yunia 7% 31% 40% 19% 4% - -
206 HO Peyton 4% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1% -
208 ZHU Alivia 1% 7% 27% 39% 21% 4% -
209 VENZON Makena Jane 1% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
209 HUANG Emma 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2% -
211 LEO Jenna - 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
211 MURPHY Genevieve - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
211 DESAI Zoya 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% - -
211 PARANJAPE Ojasvi 3% 22% 43% 26% 5% - -
215 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan - 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
215 PHAN Logan 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 2% -
217 DVOIRIS Maya 4% 29% 40% 22% 5% - -
217 LEGGETT Emilia 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
219 LIN Claire 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
220 OTTAVIANO Maris 4% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
221 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
222 WU Charlotte 2% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
223 BLANKS Campbell 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
223 TAI Taphanie 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
225 HOM Emma 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
226 LEE isabella 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
227 FAN Melody 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
228 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
229 SALMI-BYDALEK Ada 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1% -
230 PAWAR Sanvi 37% 45% 16% 2% - - -
231 BEKIYANTS Elizabeth 10% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
232 NICOLETTI Thea 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
232 STEWART Isla 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
234 HO Chloe 49% 42% 9% 1% - -
235 LU Keeva 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 6% -
236 HAFEZ Sahar 4% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
236 DING Jennifer 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
238 MULLER Amara 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
239 SHUTZER Lily 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
240 KOESTERS Florentine 2% 20% 46% 26% 5% - -
241 ZHU Audrey 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
241 CHUN Ami 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
241 GENG Emma 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
244 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
244 SOMAN Indraa 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
246 VO Evelyn 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
246 RANGARAJAN Saanvi 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
248 BULAVA Tatyana 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
248 KIM Ellen 8% 37% 38% 15% 2% - -
250 REDEMANN Reagan 27% 45% 23% 4% - - -
250 KLESERT Elizabeth 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
250 DHALIWAL Seerat 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
253 PANDIT Leela 2% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
254 REILLY Carys 8% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
255 KIM Claire 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
256 HUANG Gabrielle 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
257 MARTIN Avery 19% 48% 27% 5% - - -
258 BHANGOO Paloma 15% 44% 32% 9% 1% - -
258 STERNAD Pia 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
260 JOESUF Aurielle 44% 41% 14% 2% - - -
261 ZHU Yunyao 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
261 KASHUBA Mila 8% 34% 39% 16% 3% - -
263 KIM Olivia 58% 35% 7% 1% - - -
264 HONG Mabel 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
265 CLAYTON Evelyn 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
266 SICHEL-OUTCALT Margaret 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
267 KOH Emma 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
267 HEMPHILL Mia 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
269 THERIOT Reagan 64% 31% 5% - - - -
270 SHI Micah 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
271 CHUNG Stella 2% 14% 35% 35% 12% 2% -
271 FENG Claire 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
273 WANG Ellen 25% 48% 22% 4% - - -
274 CHO Rylee 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
275 UTIN Alexandra 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
276 JUNCADELLA Lucy 12% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
276 YU Xintong 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% - -
276 DINAR Julia 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
276 AKINBAMIRO Pelu 71% 26% 3% - - - -
280 YANG Ana 24% 52% 21% 3% - -
281 PEVZNER Sophia 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% - -
281 JACKSON Julia 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
283 ATTICKS Rachel 27% 45% 23% 5% - - -
284 PAN Samantha 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
284 DILLON Zoe 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
284 LE Minnie 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
284 EBY Sophia 69% 27% 4% - - - -
284 LEWIS-RAMIREZ Lily 49% 41% 9% 1% - - -
289 LEE Lauren Jinju 19% 46% 28% 6% - - -
289 VUONG Nguyen 8% 35% 37% 17% 4% - -
291 XU Charlene 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
291 HOU Xu 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
293 BENNETT Emi 7% 35% 39% 16% 2% - -
293 SANCHEZ Viviana 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
295 BABALOLA Jadesope 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
296 CHEN Elysia 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
297 BROWN Katelyn 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -
298 LOTURCO Annabella 69% 28% 3% - - - -
298 LIU Madeleine 80% 19% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.