National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Men's Foil

Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
2 CHA James - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
3 ONG Nicholas - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 28%
3 DAI Christopher - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
5 BAKSHI Aman - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
6 LI Daniel - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
7 LAO Kevin - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
8 WEI JR Shan - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
9 CHANG Nathan - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
10 ARANA Massimo - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
11 LING Carson Jr - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
12 PETROV Mikhail 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
13 NAZARIO Dominic - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
14 RUBY Asher 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
15 UPENDER West - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
16 PETERSON Lucas - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
17 NISHIHIRA Tyler 1% 8% 29% 41% 21%
18 MCKEE Calvin - - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
19 O'LEARY Colin 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
20 LIN Lucas 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
21 LEE Thomas - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
22 SMITH Finnley - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
23 CHEN Owen 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
24 GRUNENWALD Henri - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
25 SANTIAGO Elias - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
26 PARK Jayden 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
27 BAI Austin - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
28 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
29 HAN Alexander - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 15%
30 ZHANG Julian - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
31 LUI Justin - 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
32 ZHANG Andrew - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
33 XIE Jicheng - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
34 PEDERSEN Charles - 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
35 STAFFORD Gareth - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
36 TOEWS Jackson - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
37 HARRIS Julien - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
38 TARCHICHI Robby - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
39 THOMAS Liam - 3% 16% 33% 34% 13%
40 NICOLL William - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
41 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita I. - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 19%
42 BELOKON Sammy - - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12%
43 PETINO Leonardo - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
43 ZHAN Kevin 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
45 ZHAO Ryan - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
46 WEST Nathaniel - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
47 ARATA Connor - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
48 ZAPPALA Nikolai - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
49 GLICKSBERG Alexander 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
50 DIFRANK Tae 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
51 SPINA Joseph B. - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
52 WONG Jacob W. - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
53 NUCKLES Caden - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
54 PE Noah - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
55 KROLEWSKI Alexander - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
56 DAVIS Benjamin 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
57 GREENLEAF Paul - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
58 TAM Kyle - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
59 ALBERS Asher 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
60 MARTIN William - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
61 FRASER Rhys - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
62 LEHTINEN Axel 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
63 PRUT Anton - - 4% 22% 43% 30%
64 KIM Jonah - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
65 COSSROW Alex - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
66 WEI Winston - - 2% 11% 28% 37% 20%
67 AGARWAL Savya - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
68 DA SILVA Jamie 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
69 HERRERA Xavier 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
70 SOLOPOULOS James 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
71 PEREZ Logan 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
72 SHEA William - 2% 16% 37% 35% 10%
73 ANGELOS Nico 10% 35% 37% 16% 2%
74 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
75 DOUGLASS Liam - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
76 WEISS Mateo - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
77 YANG David H. 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
78 BLACK Henry 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
79 HONG Derek - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
80 RODRIGUEZ Alex 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
80 LEONG Wilson Hua 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
82 LAM Kirin 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
83 ZHANG Jayden - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
84 MCCARVILL Cooper 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
85 DURHAM Porter - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
86 RAJPAL Alastair - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
87 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
88 HENKELMAN Grayson - 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
89 NAIDL Josiah - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
90 EDWARDS Connor 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
91 LEE Christopher 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
92 GORLOVITZKI Amitai - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
93 CHIANG Aiden 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
94 HASTINGS Alex 9% 28% 35% 22% 6% 1%
95 OH Joshua 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
96 MARTIN Wesley 1% 12% 36% 36% 14% 2%
97 LANGEN Carter M. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
98 SFINTESCU Alex - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
98 KENNEDY christo - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
100 KENNEDY Michael - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
101 WEINSTEIN Ethan - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
102 TOMASI John - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
103 CAO Kellen - 2% 18% 40% 31% 9% 1%
104 KABARITI Karim - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
104 LU Chang 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
106 POPOKH Luca - 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
107 SU Desmond - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
108 WOODALL Ian L. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
108 POLEPALLI Vinil 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
110 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. - 3% 15% 35% 33% 12% 1%
111 BERETICH Brian 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
112 POLLIO Benjamin 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% -
113 CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
114 BARBANEL Joseph 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
115 LO Ernest 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
116 LEE Aeden 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
117 JEFF Ariff 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
118 SHI Boris 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
119 LINEBERRY CADEN 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
120 STRAYER Cody 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
121 TIBBETTS Justin - 7% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
122 GOWDA Sumeru 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
123 DIAZ Gabriel 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
124 ZINSER Jamie 2% 14% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
125 SERBAN Joseph T. 1% 8% 24% 34% 23% 8% 1%
126 ZMUDA Aiden 1% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
127 WILEY Conor 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
128 KOVACS Harrison 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
129 LUK Trusten - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
130 BHANOT Arjun 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
131 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
132 ZHANG Hanson 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% -
133 FINDLER Zachary 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
134 VAN Tyson - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
135 LI Austin 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
136 HOLMES Alexiy - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
136 LEE Junehyuk 2% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
138 BECKER Ethan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
139 REYES Yannik 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
140 WASDEN Elisha - 5% 30% 40% 20% 4% -
141 BABER Shaheer 11% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
142 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
143 AMRANI David - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
144 ALABI Azryl 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
145 FERGUSON Levi 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
146 SUNDSTROM Wren 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
147 HREHOCIK Matthew - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
148 LEVIN Jack 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
149 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
150 MCMILLIAN Harrison 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
151 KAYE Ben 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
152 PEZESHKI Oliver 35% 43% 19% 3% -
153 GODIN Willis 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
154 FRANCIS Maximillian 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
155 LEBEDOVYCH Tristin 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
156 TAYLOR Solomon 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
157 POWELL Sean 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
158 ATKINSON JOSIAH - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
159 WITZ Brandon - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
160 KWON Chase 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
161 IRVINE Brody - 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4%
162 HAN Nathan 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
163 MCCONKEY Eric - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
164 NICHOLSON John 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
165 WOHLERS Trevor 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
166 SMITH Colin 29% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
167 TOMOV Evan 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
167 XU Rambert 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
169 REARDON Patrick M. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
169 DULAI Agam 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
171 WENGER Liam 23% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
172 CLIPPARD Erik J. 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
173 COFFIN Carleton - 4% 16% 31% 31% 16% 3%
174 DIMINO Kartik 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
175 ARCARA Evan 7% 40% 38% 14% 2% -
176 MCCONKEY Tristan 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
177 RITTER Nathan E. 70% 27% 3% - - -
178 BALES Gabriel 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
179 RUDOW Asher 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
180 DECKER Evan M. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
181 HARWOOD Gray 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
182 SHORTER David Alexander 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
183 YUAN Jonathan 20% 41% 28% 9% 2% - -
184 DULAI Angad 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
185 TRUJILLO Jonah 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
186 DANIEL Nikith 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
186 ROJAS Elijah 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
188 FLYNT Hayden - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
188 FRIEDMAN Andres 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
190 PANDIT Milan 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
191 NEEVEL David - 5% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
192 SHAMBARGER Graham 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% -
192 ZHENG Austin 8% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
192 SCOTT Alex 13% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
195 HOPKINS Dylan 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
196 DIEP Daniel 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
197 THAN Duc 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
198 VANCE Wyatt 6% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
199 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 11% 57% 26% 5% - - -
200 HOLCOMB Michael 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
200 YOUNG Jack 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
202 ZAMBRANO Jt 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
203 STORER Alexander 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
204 HOLCOMB Alexander 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
206 BACON Maxwell 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
207 TSIMBERG Jadon 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
208 VO Jonathan 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
209 ROBINSON Ezekiel 17% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
209 WU Geoffrey 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
211 HOWARD Fox 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
212 DAVIS Jace W. 60% 32% 7% 1% - - -
213 MYERS Cooper 44% 39% 14% 3% - - -
213 TEJAKUSUMA Eric 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
213 CANTERO Erick 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
216 KOKKER Thomas 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
216 FU Owen 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
218 FERRONE Nate 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
219 NELKA Brenden 50% 38% 11% 2% - - -
220 SHULER Alden 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
221 HOFFMAN Scott 5% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
222 COWARD Daniel 80% 18% 2% - - - -
222 CHEN Tyler 79% 20% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.