National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Men's Foil

Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
2 CHA James 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
3 ONG Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
3 DAI Christopher 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
5 BAKSHI Aman 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 9%
6 LI Daniel 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
7 LAO Kevin 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
8 WEI JR Shan 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
9 CHANG Nathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
10 ARANA Massimo 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
11 LING Carson Jr 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
12 PETROV Mikhail 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
13 NAZARIO Dominic 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
14 RUBY Asher 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
15 UPENDER West 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
16 PETERSON Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
17 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
18 MCKEE Calvin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
19 O'LEARY Colin 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
20 LIN Lucas 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
21 LEE Thomas 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
22 SMITH Finnley 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
23 CHEN Owen 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
24 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
25 SANTIAGO Elias 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
26 PARK Jayden 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
27 BAI Austin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
28 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
29 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
30 ZHANG Julian 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
31 LUI Justin 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
32 ZHANG Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
33 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
34 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
35 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 49% 15%
36 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
37 HARRIS Julien 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 13%
38 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
39 THOMAS Liam 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
40 NICOLL William 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14%
41 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
42 BELOKON Sammy 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
43 PETINO Leonardo 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
43 ZHAN Kevin 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 1%
45 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
46 WEST Nathaniel 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
47 ARATA Connor 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
48 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
49 GLICKSBERG Alexander 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
50 DIFRANK Tae 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
51 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
52 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
53 NUCKLES Caden 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
54 PE Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
55 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
56 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
57 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
58 TAM Kyle 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
59 ALBERS Asher 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
60 MARTIN William 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
61 FRASER Rhys 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
62 LEHTINEN Axel 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4%
63 PRUT Anton 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
64 KIM Jonah 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
65 COSSROW Alex 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
66 WEI Winston 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
67 AGARWAL Savya 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
68 DA SILVA Jamie 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
69 HERRERA Xavier 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
70 SOLOPOULOS James 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
71 PEREZ Logan 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
72 SHEA William 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
73 ANGELOS Nico 100% 90% 55% 18% 2%
74 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
75 DOUGLASS Liam 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
76 WEISS Mateo 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
77 YANG David H. 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
78 BLACK Henry 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
79 HONG Derek 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
80 RODRIGUEZ Alex 100% 90% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
80 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
82 LAM Kirin 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
83 ZHANG Jayden 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
84 MCCARVILL Cooper 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
85 DURHAM Porter 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
86 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 46% 13%
87 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
88 HENKELMAN Grayson 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
89 NAIDL Josiah 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
90 EDWARDS Connor 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
91 LEE Christopher 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
92 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
93 CHIANG Aiden 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
94 HASTINGS Alex 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
95 OH Joshua 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
96 MARTIN Wesley 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2%
97 LANGEN Carter M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
98 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
98 KENNEDY christo 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
100 KENNEDY Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
101 WEINSTEIN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
102 TOMASI John 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
103 CAO Kellen 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
104 KABARITI Karim 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
104 LU Chang 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
106 POPOKH Luca 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
107 SU Desmond 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
108 WOODALL Ian L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
108 POLEPALLI Vinil 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
110 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
111 BERETICH Brian 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
112 POLLIO Benjamin 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
113 CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
114 BARBANEL Joseph 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
115 LO Ernest 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
116 LEE Aeden 100% 70% 28% 5% - -
117 JEFF Ariff 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
118 SHI Boris 100% 98% 85% 55% 24% 6% 1%
119 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
120 STRAYER Cody 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
121 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
122 GOWDA Sumeru 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
123 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
124 ZINSER Jamie 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
125 SERBAN Joseph T. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
126 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
127 WILEY Conor 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
128 KOVACS Harrison 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
129 LUK Trusten 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
130 BHANOT Arjun 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
131 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
132 ZHANG Hanson 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
133 FINDLER Zachary 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
134 VAN Tyson 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
135 LI Austin 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
136 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
136 LEE Junehyuk 100% 98% 81% 45% 15% 2% -
138 BECKER Ethan 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
139 REYES Yannik 100% 98% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
140 WASDEN Elisha 100% 100% 95% 65% 25% 4% -
141 BABER Shaheer 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% - -
142 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
143 AMRANI David 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 41% 11%
144 ALABI Azryl 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
145 FERGUSON Levi 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
146 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
147 HREHOCIK Matthew 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 4%
148 LEVIN Jack 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
149 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
150 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
151 KAYE Ben 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
152 PEZESHKI Oliver 100% 65% 22% 4% -
153 GODIN Willis 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
154 FRANCIS Maximillian 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
155 LEBEDOVYCH Tristin 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
156 TAYLOR Solomon 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
157 POWELL Sean 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
158 ATKINSON JOSIAH 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
159 WITZ Brandon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
160 KWON Chase 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
161 IRVINE Brody 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
162 HAN Nathan 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
163 MCCONKEY Eric 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 3%
164 NICHOLSON John 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
165 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
166 SMITH Colin 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
167 TOMOV Evan 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
167 XU Rambert 100% 78% 37% 10% 2% - -
169 REARDON Patrick M. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 2%
169 DULAI Agam 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
171 WENGER Liam 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
172 CLIPPARD Erik J. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% -
173 COFFIN Carleton 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 3%
174 DIMINO Kartik 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
175 ARCARA Evan 100% 93% 54% 16% 2% -
176 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
177 RITTER Nathan E. 100% 30% 3% - - -
178 BALES Gabriel 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
179 RUDOW Asher 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
180 DECKER Evan M. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
181 HARWOOD Gray 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
182 SHORTER David Alexander 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
183 YUAN Jonathan 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
184 DULAI Angad 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
185 TRUJILLO Jonah 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
186 DANIEL Nikith 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
186 ROJAS Elijah 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
188 FLYNT Hayden 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
188 FRIEDMAN Andres 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
190 PANDIT Milan 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
191 NEEVEL David 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 2%
192 SHAMBARGER Graham 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
192 ZHENG Austin 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
192 SCOTT Alex 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
195 HOPKINS Dylan 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
196 DIEP Daniel 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
197 THAN Duc 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
198 VANCE Wyatt 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
199 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 100% 89% 31% 5% - - -
200 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 78% 36% 10% 1% - -
200 YOUNG Jack 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
202 ZAMBRANO Jt 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
203 STORER Alexander 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
204 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 3%
206 BACON Maxwell 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
207 TSIMBERG Jadon 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
208 VO Jonathan 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5%
209 ROBINSON Ezekiel 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
209 WU Geoffrey 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
211 HOWARD Fox 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
212 DAVIS Jace W. 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
213 MYERS Cooper 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
213 TEJAKUSUMA Eric 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
213 CANTERO Erick 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
216 KOKKER Thomas 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
216 FU Owen 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
218 FERRONE Nate 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
219 NELKA Brenden 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -
220 SHULER Alden 100% 83% 48% 17% 4% - -
221 HOFFMAN Scott 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
222 COWARD Daniel 100% 20% 2% - - - -
222 CHEN Tyler 100% 21% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.