Wanglei Fencing Epee Youth & Senior Summer Challenge

Y-12 Mixed Épée

Saturday, July 19, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Wanglei International Fencing Club - Plainsboro, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
2 HAN Emma 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
3 CHEN Aiden 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
3 ZHANG Yuchen A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
5 LEE Jack 100% 100% 91% 56% 14%
6 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 99% 87% 55% 17% 1%
7 LEE Zoe 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 1%
8 FRANCK Hunter 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
9 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
10 ERATA Selena 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
11 LAI Jaxon 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
12 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
13 CHOI Serine 100% 77% 35% 8% 1%
14 LIU Frederick 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
15 CARACCIOLO Emma 100% 97% 77% 36% 6% -
16 GU Charles 100% 100% 96% 68% 25% 3%
17 ZHANG Grace 100% 89% 49% 10% -
18 YIN Zizhan 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 1%
19 LI Michael 100% 84% 36% 7% 1% -
20 TANG David 100% 100% 94% 74% 36% 7%
21 LEE Derek 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
22 SOTO Lucas 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
23 MUKHERJEE Shreya 100% 59% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.