2025 Show-Me State Games

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, July 19, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Smithton Middle School - Columbia, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ELGHAYESH Ayman - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
2 SHI Boris 3% 25% 41% 25% 5%
3 METTE Russell - - 3% 30% 53% 14%
3 BROWN Lucas 3% 20% 42% 31% 5%
5 VAUGHAN Paul 1% 11% 51% 31% 5%
6 HAYDEN Carter 1% 15% 41% 35% 8%
7 KATZE Ashley 5% 24% 40% 25% 5%
8 EHREN Mesa 14% 36% 34% 14% 2%
9 PEARSON Ian 1% 12% 34% 38% 15%
10 LAGEMANN Kurt - 2% 16% 48% 29% 4%
11 SALLEY Bryan - 1% 13% 45% 41%
12 KOKKER Thomas 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
13 STANTON Richard - 8% 31% 42% 19%
14 XU Rambert 24% 64% 11% 1% -
15 RINAWMA Emilie 13% 37% 35% 13% 2%
16 LEJEUNE Matthew 4% 47% 40% 8% -
17 HELLMAN Daniel 39% 46% 14% 2% -
18 ARTHURS Minna 22% 46% 26% 6% - -
19 FOUST Abigail 51% 44% 5% - - -
20 BUECKING Jannis 1% 13% 64% 20% 2% -
21 SANDOVAL Daniel 4% 21% 40% 29% 7%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.