2025 Show-Me State Games

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, July 19, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Smithton Middle School - Columbia, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ELGHAYESH Ayman 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
2 SHI Boris 100% 97% 73% 32% 6%
3 METTE Russell 100% 100% 100% 97% 67% 14%
3 BROWN Lucas 100% 97% 77% 35% 5%
5 VAUGHAN Paul 100% 99% 88% 36% 5%
6 HAYDEN Carter 100% 98% 80% 38% 6%
7 KATZE Ashley 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
8 EHREN Mesa 100% 88% 53% 18% 3%
9 PEARSON Ian 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
10 LAGEMANN Kurt 100% 100% 98% 82% 34% 4%
11 SALLEY Bryan 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
12 KOKKER Thomas 100% 96% 74% 36% 7%
13 STANTON Richard 100% 100% 92% 62% 20%
14 XU Rambert 100% 76% 12% 1% -
15 RINAWMA Emilie 100% 88% 51% 15% 2%
16 LEJEUNE Matthew 100% 96% 49% 9% -
17 HELLMAN Daniel 100% 62% 16% 2% -
18 ARTHURS Minna 100% 78% 32% 6% - -
19 FOUST Abigail 100% 49% 5% - - -
20 BUECKING Jannis 100% 99% 86% 22% 2% -
21 SANDOVAL Daniel 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.