MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, July 20, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AGARWAL Jagrav 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
2 DONG Nancy 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
3 ZHAN Catherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 DUDLEY Kaitrin 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 7%
5 ZHANG Katie Qingyun 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 6%
6 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
7 JOESUF Thea 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
8 KHANAL Sarah 100% 98% 67% 24% 4% - -
9 LEE Clara 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% -
10 WONG Sebastian 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
11 PICACHE Crockett 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
12 KIM Chloe 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 4%
13 HUEMMER Sophia 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
14 PICACHE Camilla 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
15 SIMPSON Lucas 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
16 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 35% 5% - - - -
17 SPICER-YOUAKIM Benjamin 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
18 CHEN Celina 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
19 POOREY Sophie 100% 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1%
20 PICACHE Merrick 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.