Nutmeg State Games

Senior Men's Foil

Saturday, July 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DOBBINS Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
2 TORO Alejandro 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
3 SMITH Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
3 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 100% 88% 42% 2%
5 OH Joshua 100% 100% 95% 57% 15% 1%
6 LOZADA Gabriel 100% 100% 94% 47% 2%
7 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 100% 99% 82% 37% 4%
8 BALESTRACCI Chris 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
9 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 100% 95% 46% 8% -
10 HARRIS Noah 100% 100% 99% 80% 35% 4%
11 GRANADOS Luis 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 1%
12 BUCHAS Jamie 100% 100% 93% 44% 2%
13 LIOU Solomon 100% 95% 71% 31% 5% -
14 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 99% 89% 59% 18% -
15 BOURNE Zane 100% 67% 10% 1% - -
16 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 99% 81% 31% 1%
17 BRAWN Gavin 100% 72% 29% 6% - -
18 PRZYBOROWSKI Thomas 100% 58% 8% - -
19 ARSHAD Mohsin 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
20 JOHNSON Matthew 100% 55% 6% - -
21 DEXTER Zebulon 100% 14% 1% - -
22 LAROCCO Patrick 100% 44% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.