Nutmeg State Games

E & Under Men's Saber

Saturday, July 26, 2025 at 5:30 PM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 MCCAFFREY Timothy 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
2 CONG Mason 100% 96% 72% 29% 3%
3 FOGG Zachary 100% 100% 92% 62% 20%
3 WONG Vincent 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
5 QASBA Rudrh 100% 99% 90% 59% 19%
6 HOWARD Demani 100% 77% 23% 2%
7 SUMNER Nicholas 100% 99% 85% 42%
8 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
9 MERCURE Edward (Tony) 100% 70% 23% 2%
10 DRUZHININ Michael 100% 93% 64% 25% 4%
11 DAVIS Carew 100% 65% 22% 3% -
12 VEGA Austin 100% 96% 64% 16%
13 OLEN Phoenix 100% 71% 27% 5% -
14 CIUICA Alexander 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.