Event Results

Junior Men's Foil

Bay Cup at TFC:JMF1,JWF1,XF2,WF1,DV2WF1,DV2MF1Surprise Map

Sunday, October 13, 2019 at 10:00 AM The Fencing Center · San Jose, CA, USA

27 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	OTAKE Jared K.	V V V V V V	V V V V	5.3	6	+0.7
2	LUH Ethan K.	V V D V V V	V V V V D	4.2	5	+0.8
3	SUNG Changhan S.	V V V V V D	V V D	4.2	5	+0.8
3	DARIANO Noah G.	V V V V D V	V V D	5.6	5	-0.6
5	WU Conrad J.	V V V V V	V D	4.0	5	+1.0
6	BLAIR Riley	V D V V V V	V D	4.0	5	+1.0
7	MILLER Duncan	V V V V D V	V V D	4.3	5	+0.7
8	PATINO Yahir	V V V D V	V V D	3.3	4	+0.7
9	MURATA Akitoshi D.	V V V D V V	V D	2.5	5	+2.5
10	YEE Johnathan	V D D V V V	V D	3.7	4	+0.3
11	SCHUR Skyler	D V V D D V	V D	3.6	3	-0.6
12	FULLER Durant	D V V D V D	V D	4.0	3	-1.0
13	MARSHALL Wyeth	V V D D D V	V D	1.4	3	+1.6
14	LIM Charles Q.	D D V V D	V D	2.6	2	-0.6
15	CASTILLO Jonas	D V D D V	V D	1.9	2	+0.1
16	OLARU-HAGEN Eric	V D D V D	V D	2.6	2	-0.6
17	NGUYEN Kevin	D V D D D V	D	2.1	2	-0.1
18	LIZARRAGA Sebastian	D D V V D D	D	2.0	2	-
19	LIN Richard	D D V D V D	D	1.7	2	+0.3
20	DORMAN Patrick	V D D D V D	D	2.6	2	-0.6
21	COTHRAN Jack	D D V V D D	D	0.7	2	+1.3
22	MCMILLAN Raymond	D D D D V D	D	3.2	1	-2.2
23	ARREDONDO Rafael	D D D D V D	D	2.0	1	-1.0
24	CHOI Cody	V D D D D D	D	3.0	1	-2.0
25	MCAFEE Cameron	D D D V D D	D	2.0	1	-1.0
26	BACHER Richard	D D D D D	D	0.6	0	-0.6
27	PETERSON Lucas	D D D D D D	D	1.0	0	-1.0

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!