Y10/Y12/Y14 Youth Challenge #4 at Medeo

Y-10 Mixed Épée

Sunday, July 27, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Medeo Fencing Club - Bound Brook, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
2 CHEN Reina 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
3 CHEN Regis 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
3 BEZRODNOV Artemi 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
5 LIU Frederick 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
6 RYU Natalee 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
7 ERATA Selena 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
8 MAO Faith 100% 99% 84% 42% 7% -
9 QIN Olivia 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
10 SOTO Lucas 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
11 LIOU Skylar 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
12 IVANOV Andrew 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
13 BAI Jamie 100% 100% 98% 81% 38% 6%
14 CHEN Emily 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
15 LIN Elina 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
16 CHOI Serine 100% 86% 48% 16% 3% - -
17 SELOT Arjun 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
18 JIANG Christina 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
19 RHO Dylan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
20 WANG Alan 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.