2025 Bluegrass State Games

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, August 2, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BETTS Jr Anthony P. - 6% 30% 51% 12%
2 FULLER II Thomas - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
3 MARISI Gabriel - - - 2% 21% 77%
3 REDEMANN Shawn - 3% 19% 44% 34%
5 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
6 CARDENAS Nathan A. - 2% 15% 42% 37% 4%
7 TRAN John 1% 7% 30% 42% 19% 1%
8 MCNARY Sean 14% 42% 34% 10% 1% -
9 MILLER Hayden 13% 39% 35% 11% 1%
10 STAUBITZ Marc 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
11 BOTNER Olivia - 3% 19% 44% 33%
12 MILLER Brent 2% 20% 56% 21% 2%
13 EDWARDS Tim - 5% 26% 48% 22%
14 MOLDOVEANU Roman 1% 18% 44% 30% 6% -
15 MCNARY Ross - 13% 35% 35% 15% 2%
16 BIDWELL Christopher 4% 31% 47% 16% 2%
17 MARISI Gianna 20% 41% 30% 9% 1%
18 INGRIM Adellia 51% 40% 9% 1% - -
19 SAYLER Griffin 16% 73% 10% 1% - -
20 WILKINS Emma 41% 43% 14% 2% -
21 KOENIGSKNECHT Michelle 30% 49% 18% 2% -
22 GUMP Catherine 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.