2025 Bluegrass State Games

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, August 2, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 95% 66% 14%
2 FULLER II Thomas 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
3 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 REDEMANN Shawn 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
5 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
6 CARDENAS Nathan A. 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 4%
7 TRAN John 100% 99% 93% 66% 23% 1%
8 MCNARY Sean 100% 86% 43% 9% 1% -
9 MILLER Hayden 100% 89% 50% 13% 1%
10 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 99% 84% 44% 10% 1%
11 BOTNER Olivia 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
12 MILLER Brent 100% 98% 79% 23% 2%
13 EDWARDS Tim 100% 100% 96% 71% 23%
14 MOLDOVEANU Roman 100% 99% 80% 35% 6% -
15 MCNARY Ross 100% 100% 89% 56% 20% 3%
16 BIDWELL Christopher 100% 97% 67% 19% 2%
17 MARISI Gianna 100% 80% 39% 9% 1%
18 INGRIM Adellia 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
19 SAYLER Griffin 100% 80% 16% 1% - -
20 WILKINS Emma 100% 49% 10% 1% -
21 KOENIGSKNECHT Michelle 100% 69% 20% 2% -
22 GUMP Catherine 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.