The Duelist Open 24

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, August 9, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Belleville High School - Belleville, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BROOKS Zachary B. - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
2 KANAR Ian - - - 1% 14% 44% 40%
3 JONES Reilly - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
3 SERAFYM Damian - - 3% 16% 38% 36% 7%
5 KIM Sterling S. - - 2% 16% 40% 34% 8%
6 MCDONNELL Michael 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
7 CAMP Ethan - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
8 BECKER Thomas - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
9 SNELL Andrew J. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
10 SCHRANK Mitchell - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
11 TOWNSEND George - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
12 LI Peizhen (Daniel) 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
13 DEPAUW Devan 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
14 BETTS Jr Anthony P. - 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
15 MARSHALL John W. - - 1% 9% 40% 51%
16 JOBE Connor 2% 17% 40% 33% 7% -
17 SCHULTZ Gillian 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
18 DIETZ Tommy 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
19 OCHS Bradley C. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
20 ALABI Azryl 20% 43% 30% 7% - -
21 NORCONK Claire R. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
22 SAYLOR Henry 9% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
23 ECKEL Anson J. - - 1% 7% 31% 49% 13%
24 BROWN Amanda - 3% 23% 49% 22% 3% -
25 LAPP J P 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
26 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 7%
27 SHELVEN Jr. Lawrence E. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
28 AYAR Riley 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
29 SCHULTZ Michelle M. 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
30 ADAM Cristian 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
31 WALSH Christopher J. - 2% 12% 34% 37% 14% 1%
32 METZ Evan 25% 46% 24% 5% - -
33 ZHANG James - - 3% 19% 49% 26% 3%
34 BOLAKOWSKI John M. - 2% 16% 49% 29% 4%
35 DEPAUW Adeline 6% 33% 40% 17% 3% - -
36 JANYSKA Allen 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
37 SAYLOR Nathaniel 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
38 ZHANG Michael 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
39 ADAMISIN Brayden 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
40 LIU Quincy 1% 9% 40% 40% 10% 1% -
41 WANG Kaiyan 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% -
42 CACCAMO Nicholas - 3% 18% 42% 32% 5% -
43 OXIE Matthew 12% 42% 33% 11% 2% - -
44 STAUBITZ Marc 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1% -
45 APANASEWICZ Dan 24% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
46 KLINE R. Jay 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
48 WILTSE Alexander 4% 27% 42% 22% 5% - -
49 KOCSIS Cherry 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
50 HOLDORF LE GOFF Bianca 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1%
51 ZEHE Michele A. 34% 43% 19% 3% - - -
52 JAGROO Mary 10% 32% 36% 17% 3% - -
53 DUTTON Kimberly 65% 31% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.