The Duelist Open 24

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, August 9, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Belleville High School - Belleville, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BROOKS Zachary B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 KANAR Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
3 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
3 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 7%
5 KIM Sterling S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
6 MCDONNELL Michael 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
7 CAMP Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
8 BECKER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
9 SNELL Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
10 SCHRANK Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
11 TOWNSEND George 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
12 LI Peizhen (Daniel) 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
13 DEPAUW Devan 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
14 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
15 MARSHALL John W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
16 JOBE Connor 100% 98% 80% 40% 7% -
17 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
18 DIETZ Tommy 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
19 OCHS Bradley C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
20 ALABI Azryl 100% 80% 37% 7% - -
21 NORCONK Claire R. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
22 SAYLOR Henry 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
23 ECKEL Anson J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 13%
24 BROWN Amanda 100% 100% 97% 74% 25% 3% -
25 LAPP J P 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
26 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7%
27 SHELVEN Jr. Lawrence E. 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
28 AYAR Riley 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
29 SCHULTZ Michelle M. 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
30 ADAM Cristian 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
31 WALSH Christopher J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 1%
32 METZ Evan 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
33 ZHANG James 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 29% 3%
34 BOLAKOWSKI John M. 100% 100% 98% 83% 33% 4%
35 DEPAUW Adeline 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% - -
36 JANYSKA Allen 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
37 SAYLOR Nathaniel 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
38 ZHANG Michael 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
39 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
40 LIU Quincy 100% 99% 90% 50% 10% 1% -
41 WANG Kaiyan 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
42 CACCAMO Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 6% -
43 OXIE Matthew 100% 88% 46% 12% 2% - -
44 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1% -
45 APANASEWICZ Dan 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% -
46 KLINE R. Jay 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
48 WILTSE Alexander 100% 96% 70% 27% 5% - -
49 KOCSIS Cherry 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
50 HOLDORF LE GOFF Bianca 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1%
51 ZEHE Michele A. 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
52 JAGROO Mary 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
53 DUTTON Kimberly 100% 35% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.