Orion Spring Star Series Foil Senior Open & Y12 #9

Senior Mixed Foil

Friday, August 15, 2025 at 6:30 PM

Orion Fencing - Vancouver, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DEI ROSSI Matteo 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
2 CRAIG Whitman 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
3 HOLZGRAFE Nathaniel C. 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
3 HARWOOD James A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
5 SKYWARK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
6 LOCKWOOD London 100% 100% 93% 63% 19% 2%
7 WILCOX Stephen 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
8 BACHELEZ0 Andreas 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
9 WISEMAN Andy M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
10 WALLACE Alexander 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
11 MEEHAN Dylan A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 7%
12 HURST Jason 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
13 VERES Amarilla 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
14 CRETEN joachim 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1%
16 NILSEN Aaron 100% 99% 89% 50% 13% 1% -
17 NESS Erik 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
18 BENNETT Andrew 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
20 NESS Ethan 100% 98% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
21 PORTER Mary 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.