TFC August Fence-a-thon

Y-8 Mixed Foil

Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 10:00 AM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DING Athena 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1% < 1%
2 SUN Leia 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
3 SHEN Rebecca 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
3 GUAN Angie 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
5 HO Karsten 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
6 DELL Royce 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
7 XIE Caden 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% - -
8 LEE Taylor 100% 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3%
9 XIE Chen 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -
10 CHEN Bennett 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
11 PARK Cora 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
12 RUAN Alexander 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
13 SIN Ian 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
13 ZHANG Ellen 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.