TFC August Fence-a-thon

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 1:00 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOUGLASS Liam - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
2 NISHIHIRA Tyler - - 1% 7% 31% 50% 11%
3 BERMAN Michael - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
3 AGARWAL Savya - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
5 MA Isabelle - - 1% 7% 29% 47% 16%
6 CHEN Owen - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
7 BURLINGAME Owen - 2% 12% 32% 37% 15% 2%
8 LEE Abigail - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
9 HSU Rachel - - 1% 12% 45% 35% 7%
10 JOESUF Aurielle 2% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
11 RAMIREZ Jordan 2% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1% -
12 HAGIWARA-MATIASEK Kazuma 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
13 SHU Eric 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
14 CHEUNG Henry 2% 23% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
15 URSU Oana M. 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
16 NGUYEN Nolan 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
17 JIANG Runfeng - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
18 TSAI Finley 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3% -
18 YU Zen 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
20 REN Muyao 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
21 HUEMMER Sophia 66% 29% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.