TFC August Fence-a-thon

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 1:00 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOUGLASS Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
2 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 11%
3 BERMAN Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 AGARWAL Savya 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
5 MA Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 16%
6 CHEN Owen 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
7 BURLINGAME Owen 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
8 LEE Abigail 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% 1%
9 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 42% 7%
10 JOESUF Aurielle 100% 98% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
11 RAMIREZ Jordan 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1% -
12 HAGIWARA-MATIASEK Kazuma 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
13 SHU Eric 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
14 CHEUNG Henry 100% 98% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
15 URSU Oana M. 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
16 NGUYEN Nolan 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
17 JIANG Runfeng 100% 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
18 TSAI Finley 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
18 YU Zen 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
20 REN Muyao 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
21 HUEMMER Sophia 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.