3V 3W Tri-Valley Tri-Weapons @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 9:00 AM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Sky 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
2 LEE Jadyn 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 5% < 1%
3 KIM Connor 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% 1%
3 YUNG Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30% 1%
5 TSENG Ruby 100% 100% 98% 74% 30% 5% -
6 JECHA Zachary 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
7 XIE Jingyan 100% 98% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
8 WU Aiden 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
9 WHITE Marcus 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
10 SISTLA Aditya 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
11 CLAES Emma 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
12 SEVERT David 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
13 HAGENBUCH Isabella 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
14 FANG Kaitlyn 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.