The Crescent City Open ROC/RJCC (FIRE)

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 9:30 AM

The Riverside Hilton / Fitness Center - New Orleans, LA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PETROSEWICZ Thomas (TJ) ". - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
2 HURME Tommi K. - - - - 1% 14% 85%
3 LIOZNYANSKY Miron - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
3 KIM Gene 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
5 DECKER Hunter - - 5% 23% 43% 27% 2%
6 ALVIOR Jacob A. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
7 ELLISON Harper F. - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
8 SANCHEZ Emanuel - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
9 MANDOKI Sandor I. - - - 4% 30% 65%
10 LEECH Braedan 1% 27% 44% 23% 4% -
11 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 46% 39% 12% 2% < 1% -
12 MUNOZ Humberto - 5% 22% 41% 28% 5%
13 CLARK Timothy J. - - 4% 25% 47% 24%
14 QIAN Irvine 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
15 TIEMANN Landen - 1% 10% 32% 39% 17%
16 ALVIOR Joshua Aethan B. - - 3% 21% 46% 30%
17 SATHYAN Dev 15% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -
18 SURESH NEERAJ 5% 28% 46% 18% 2% -
19 NIXON Scott - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
20 DADE MAXIMUS 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 2%
21 VAN VACTER Thomas 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
22 OLSON Clayton M. - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 1%
23 YANG Zeph - 1% 12% 37% 41% 8%
24 POHL Philip 34% 46% 18% 2% - -
25 RAY William - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10%
26 GONZALEZ Kian 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
27 COATES Gregory 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
28 KRAFFT Douglas - 2% 15% 42% 34% 8%
29 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian - 6% 23% 39% 26% 6% -
30 IBANEZ Benjamin 1% 22% 44% 27% 6% -
31 KERTESZ Stefan G. 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
32 WOODALL Ian L. 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
33 CHALMERS Thomas - 9% 34% 40% 15% 1%
34 WINKLER Michael 26% 49% 22% 3% - -
35 TRACY James 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
36 CHIZ Max H. 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
37 GEIGER Devin T. 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
37 BALACHANDRAN Manu 85% 14% 1% - - -
39 TUMULA Arihaan 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% -
40 FEE Aiden 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
41 DERY MarkAlain 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
42 DUGAS Phillip H. 3% 27% 45% 21% 3% - -
43 WERTH Mario 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.