The Crescent City Open ROC/RJCC (FIRE)

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 9:30 AM

The Riverside Hilton / Fitness Center - New Orleans, LA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PETROSEWICZ Thomas (TJ) ". 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
3 KIM Gene 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
5 DECKER Hunter 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 29% 2%
6 ALVIOR Jacob A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
7 ELLISON Harper F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
8 SANCHEZ Emanuel 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
9 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
10 LEECH Braedan 100% 99% 72% 28% 4% -
11 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 54% 14% 2% < 1% -
12 MUNOZ Humberto 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
13 CLARK Timothy J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 24%
14 QIAN Irvine 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
15 TIEMANN Landen 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
16 ALVIOR Joshua Aethan B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
17 SATHYAN Dev 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
18 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 95% 67% 21% 3% -
19 NIXON Scott 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
20 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2%
21 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
22 OLSON Clayton M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17% 1%
23 YANG Zeph 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 8%
24 POHL Philip 100% 66% 20% 2% - -
25 RAY William 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10%
26 GONZALEZ Kian 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
27 COATES Gregory 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
28 KRAFFT Douglas 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 8%
29 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6% -
30 IBANEZ Benjamin 100% 99% 77% 33% 6% -
31 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
32 WOODALL Ian L. 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
33 CHALMERS Thomas 100% 100% 90% 57% 16% 1%
34 WINKLER Michael 100% 74% 25% 3% - -
35 TRACY James 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
36 CHIZ Max H. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
37 GEIGER Devin T. 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
37 BALACHANDRAN Manu 100% 15% 1% - - -
39 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
40 FEE Aiden 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
41 DERY MarkAlain 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
42 DUGAS Phillip H. 100% 97% 70% 25% 3% - -
43 WERTH Mario 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.