Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Southern Connecticut State University (James Moore Fieldhouse) - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAO Castor T. - - - 1% 14% 86%
2 DESANDO Michael R. - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
3 CHEN Kyle P. - - 1% 10% 34% 43% 12%
3 TAN Aidan - - - 5% 25% 46% 23%
5 DOELL Ethan - 1% 7% 30% 43% 20%
6 TANG Terry - - 6% 26% 45% 21% 2%
7 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - - - 5% 33% 62%
8 ZHANG GAVIN J 1% 11% 35% 38% 13% 1% -
9 PARRA Fabian - - - 1% 9% 38% 51%
10 TANG Alexander L. - 1% 5% 26% 50% 19%
11 CHENG Logan - 2% 14% 36% 35% 12% 1%
12 DOBBINS Evan W. - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
13 XU Ethan - 2% 15% 41% 34% 9%
14 BARTEL Jacob L. - 1% 9% 35% 50% 5%
15 BAI Brian - 1% 10% 30% 39% 18% 2%
16 ORLOV Dmitriy 4% 23% 42% 26% 5% -
17 LI Bradley - - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
18 WANG Rory - 1% 8% 31% 47% 14%
19 PARKER Isaiah 4% 24% 42% 26% 4% < 1%
20 KATAYAMA Kevin - - - - 2% 26% 71%
20 CHEN Ethan - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
22 BELLUOMO David C. - - - 3% 19% 54% 25%
23 TANG August L. - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
24 ABRAMKIN Tim 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 2% -
25 SUSANTO William 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
26 KROLEWSKI Alexander 10% 36% 38% 15% 2% -
27 GATRELL Mitchell E. - - 1% 7% 32% 47% 13%
29 SMITH Grant D. - 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
30 KO Caleb 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
31 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
32 DEEB Adam - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
33 YAO Bradley - - 1% 10% 32% 42% 14%
34 LI Aaron - - 1% 6% 30% 52% 12%
35 SHANNON Jack 1% 17% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
36 URIBE GOMEZ Sebastian Javier - - 6% 25% 44% 25%
37 LIU Aaron 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
38 PAN Ethan 1% 11% 34% 39% 13% 1%
39 HUA Aaron 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2% -
40 DAVIDSON Elliot - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
41 ZENG Rick - 2% 12% 35% 39% 11% 1%
42 HAN Alexander 1% 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
43 VIVEROS Evan - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
44 CHA James 2% 14% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
45 CHOI Benjamin 6% 30% 41% 20% 3% -
46 GONZALEZ Oliver 6% 26% 40% 23% 4% -
47 TOOMRE Kai 7% 30% 40% 19% 3% -
48 CHO Michael - - 1% 7% 36% 56%
49 STAFFORD Gareth 8% 30% 39% 20% 3% -
50 WANG Brian - 6% 28% 39% 22% 4% -
51 PLUMMER Waylon 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1% -
52 BAI Austin 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
53 MUNDAHL Brandon - 20% 44% 28% 7% 1%
54 ZAPPALA Nikolai 3% 18% 40% 31% 8% 1% -
55 WYSZYNSKI Marek B. - - < 1% - 5% 39% 56%
56 XU Nathan 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
57 BERETICH Brian 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
58 FROST Chayse 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
59 TANG Royce 1% 38% 44% 15% 2% -
60 LEE Charles T 10% 33% 38% 17% 2% -
61 THOMAS Liam 19% 40% 31% 9% 1% -
62 LEE Thomas 45% 41% 13% 2% - -
63 HOLMES Alexiy 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
64 XU Ryan 23% 45% 26% 5% - - -
65 BERNARD Jonathan 80% 19% 2% - - - -
66 FERENCZ Alexander J. 11% 46% 32% 9% 1% - -
67 REN Ryan 31% 46% 20% 3% - - -
68 AYYAGARI Abhiram 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
69 MURPHY Damian J. 9% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
70 SHAMBARGER Graham 65% 31% 4% - - - -
70 HOWARD Mekai 97% 3% - - - -
73 EZEKIEL Nathan 36% 43% 17% 3% - -
74 LIGH Thomas 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
74 ULYSSE Jacob 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.