Portland RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, August 24, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
2 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
3 LU Jacob 100% 100% 100% 92% 57% 15%
3 LEWIS Michael 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 5%
5 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
6 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1%
7 WEGENER Soren 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
8 GOWDA Suyog 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% -
9 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 26%
10 LI Timothy 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
11 DONDISCH ilan 100% 100% 100% 96% 68% 22%
12 BREILING Niklas 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
13 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
14 WANG aaron 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 7% -
15 BACON Corban 100% 71% 21% 2% - -
16 BREILING Sebastian 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% -
17 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
18 KIM Remington 100% 99% 84% 49% 14% 1%
19 LEE Daniel 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
20 OLSON Kevin 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 4%
21 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
22 MYRAH Devin 100% 69% 22% 3% - -
23 MARTIN zachary 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
24 LIGHT Luke 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
25 DESMOND-CIESLOWSKI Oscar 100% 60% 14% 1% - -
26 WANG Juehan 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
27 MARTIN Lucas 100% 98% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
28 CHAN Joseph 100% 24% 2% - - - -
29 MONTGOMERY Elliot 100% 96% 69% 19% 2% -
30 CASONI Calder 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
31 AYERS Landyn 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.