Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, August 24, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Southern Connecticut State University (James Moore Fieldhouse) - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
2 GOH Cayla 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
3 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
3 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 30% 5%
5 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
6 SONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
7 JOYAL Anne-Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 50%
8 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16% 1%
9 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
10 XIAO Nancy 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
11 TRAN Helena 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
12 CAMPBELL Anahit M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
13 TCHERNYSHOV ANNA 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
14 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
15 WU Michelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
16 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
17 LEE Claire 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 18%
18 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
19 KAUR Manroop 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
20 WONG Sydney 100% 99% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
21 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
22 JU Jennifer 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
23 LI Fei 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
24 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
25 LAU Karina 100% 64% 20% 3% < 1% - -
26 ADYANTHAYA Anika 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
27 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
28 LAW Mila 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
29 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
30 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% -
31 WANG Trinity 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
32 CHEN Alina 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
33 YOUN Emily 100% 77% 21% 2% - - -
34 WESER Veronica U. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
35 VENKATESAN Harshitha 100% 99% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
36 YOUN Kylie 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
37 BYRON Karen J. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
38 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 100% 99% 73% 29% 6% - -
39 PETROFF Eva 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
40 ZHENG Kristen 100% 63% 13% 1% - - -
41 GOLIYAD Lisa 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
42 ERSHOVA Anastasia 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
43 SONG Charlotte 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% - -
44 XIAO Katelyn 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
45 DUNNE Jessica 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
46 SHETH Anayaà 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
47 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
48 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 4% -
49 MONITTO Malina 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% - -
50 FOMINA Polina 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 5% -
51 DANNHAUSER Carol A. 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
52 MARCHANT Morgan 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
53 GORTI Aadya 100% 41% 4% - - - -
53 BUES Caelan 100% 12% 1% - - - -
53 LE NOC’H Farrah 100% 60% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.