Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
2 BAE Yooju 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 30%
3 REN Kayley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
3 ZHANG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
5 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
6 LENK Sophie 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
6 LIU Ariana 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
8 LIU Ashley 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
9 WYNN Kylie 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
10 HSIAO Ariya 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
11 TAYLOR Gabrielle 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
12 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
13 SUN Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 21%
14 LIU Samantha 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
15 XIE Su 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
16 DESAI Esha 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
17 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
18 PENG Serena 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 50% 10%
19 ZHOU Chenchu 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 11%
20 WAHBA fatima 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
21 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
22 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
23 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 26%
24 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
25 THERON Zoe 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
26 NARANJO Kristin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
27 GU Chen 100% 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% -
28 TAO Ann 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8% 1%
29 AHN Hayley 100% 92% 39% 8% 1% - -
30 WILLIAMSON Tessa 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
31 YANG Hanli 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
32 CHANG Olivia 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
33 YONG Rosalind 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
34 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
35 LI Chelsea 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
36 TAN Shouyin 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
37 ZHOU Joi 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
38 PEDERSEN Haley 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 9%
39 HSU Rachel 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% - -
40 LIM Kensie 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
41 YU Sophie 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
42 CHOI Sophie 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
43 SAH Madeleine 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
44 CHO Karis 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
45 HAN Gian 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
46 ZONG Melody 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
47 VILLARAMA Kara 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 16% 2%
48 LIN Allison 100% 99% 88% 51% 10% 1% -
49 FANG Kelervia 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
50 JACOB Norah 100% 99% 86% 52% 15% 2% -
51 GUO Audrey 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
52 BHANGOO Paloma 100% 71% 25% 3% - - -
53 XIA Isabella 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
54 LAY Apollonia 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
55 ZHANG Viviana 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
56 HUGHES Bailey 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
57 ARYA Leela 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% - -
58 ANDONIAN Lauren 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
59 TEWARI Amaira 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
60 YU Xintong 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
61 NORRIS Erin 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
61 QURESHI Zoya 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
63 HAN Mia 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
64 CHANG Janelle 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
65 LUCAS Ava 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
66 DING Madison 100% 96% 70% 25% 3% - -
67 VOROBIEV Alexandra 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
68 CHU Felicity 100% 74% 27% 4% - - -
69 TAI Taphanie 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
70 SCHULTZ Sumi 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
71 LEE Abigail 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
72 RIGBY Ellie 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
73 GUTIERREZ Gia 100% 25% 2% - - - -
74 PARK Amelie 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.