Battle At The Beach ROC/RJCC

Div III Men's Foil

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Prime F. Osborn III Convention Center - Jacksonville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CRUMBLISS Kasey - - 2% 10% 32% 43% 12%
2 CAO Kellen 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
3 KARLEKAR Ved - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
3 GRINER Kevin - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6%
5 BRITTNELL Nicolas - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
6 SHAW Spencer - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
7 PARK Jubin 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
8 MCMANUS Liam - - < 1% 2% 13% 40% 45%
9 TAN Allen 4% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
10 OZTEK Muzaffer T. - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
11 HARWOOD Gray - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
12 CORTEZ Reigner - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
13 FLYNN Oliver 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
14 MCGUIRE Osborn - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 15%
15 PANDIT Milan 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
16 LECLAIR Noah 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
17 STANSBURY Desmond - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 4%
18 RAMESH Prashvin 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
19 ZENG Albert 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
20 CANTERO Erick - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
21 FIERRO Michael 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
22 LEOTTI Galen - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
23 AYALA Franco 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% -
24 AMIN Aarav - 4% 14% 29% 31% 17% 4%
25 RIZZOLO Christopher 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
26 STEPHENS Trenton 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
27 SANDS Cooper 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
28 MARCUS Vincent 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
29 RYAN SIMONOVICH George 'Yuri' 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
30 PHELPS Victor E. 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
31 CREWS Aiden 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
32 GIRA Collin 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
33 SHAY Xander 12% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
34 RYAN SIMONOVICH Mike 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.