Battle At The Beach ROC/RJCC

Div III Men's Foil

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Prime F. Osborn III Convention Center - Jacksonville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CRUMBLISS Kasey 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 12%
2 CAO Kellen 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
3 KARLEKAR Ved 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
3 GRINER Kevin 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
5 BRITTNELL Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
6 SHAW Spencer 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
7 PARK Jubin 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
8 MCMANUS Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
9 TAN Allen 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
10 OZTEK Muzaffer T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
11 HARWOOD Gray 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
12 CORTEZ Reigner 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
13 FLYNN Oliver 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
14 MCGUIRE Osborn 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
15 PANDIT Milan 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
16 LECLAIR Noah 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
17 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 4%
18 RAMESH Prashvin 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
19 ZENG Albert 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
20 CANTERO Erick 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
21 FIERRO Michael 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
22 LEOTTI Galen 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
23 AYALA Franco 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
24 AMIN Aarav 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
25 RIZZOLO Christopher 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
26 STEPHENS Trenton 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
27 SANDS Cooper 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
28 MARCUS Vincent 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
29 RYAN SIMONOVICH George 'Yuri' 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
30 PHELPS Victor E. 100% 98% 87% 62% 30% 8% 1%
31 CREWS Aiden 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
32 GIRA Collin 100% 69% 29% 7% 1% - -
33 SHAY Xander 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
34 RYAN SIMONOVICH Mike 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.