Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Women's Foil

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
2 ZHOU Joi 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
3 LENK Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 VILLARAMA Kara 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 13%
5 PEDERSEN Haley 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 13%
5 LI Chelsea 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1%
7 HSIAO Ariya 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
8 CHEN Jephanie Y. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
9 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
10 TAYLOR Gabrielle 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
11 DESAI Esha 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
12 JOHNSON Shelby 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
13 ARYA Leela 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% -
14 TROXEL Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
15 ANDONIAN Lauren 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
16 LIN Allison 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
17 GU Chen 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
18 SAH Madeleine 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 1%
19 CHOI Sophie 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
20 LAY Apollonia 100% 98% 85% 58% 27% 7% 1%
21 LEE Abigail 100% 95% 70% 28% 4% -
22 LI Serena 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
23 HAN Mia 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
24 JACOB Norah 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
25 BHANGOO Paloma 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
26 QURESHI Zoya 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
27 VOROBIEV Alexandra 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
28 MONAT Jennifer 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
29 LUCAS Ava 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
30 HAN Gian 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
31 HUA Cheyenne 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% 1%
32 SEAL Ayda 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
33 GILLETTE Eleanor 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 3%
34 HSU Rachel 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
35 FANG Kelervia 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
36 DING Madison 100% 94% 68% 27% 3% -
37 HUGHES Bailey 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
38 CHANG Janelle 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
39 JONES Olivia 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
40 GARDNER desaree 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
41 BENNYHOFF Naia 100% 96% 52% 14% 2% - -
42 TAN Shouyin 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
43 WILLIAMSON Tessa 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
44 FRENZINGER Kate 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
45 FENG Sophia 100% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.