Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOYOFUKU Ethan - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
2 XU Che - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
3 SAHAGIAN Izzy C. - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
3 ONG Jee Ken - - - 1% 13% 87%
5 LEHNER Brian - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 23%
6 CHARETTE Matthew - 2% 14% 40% 41% 3%
7 MURICO Nicholas 17% 43% 31% 8% 1% -
8 PARKE Nathaniel - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
9 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
10 WANG Devin - 5% 25% 43% 24% 3%
11 WONG Preston - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
12 WONG Vansen 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
13 KIM Daniel - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
14 CHENG Trevor - 1% 11% 37% 40% 11%
15 LIU Xuyao 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
16 EMERSON Zachary - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
17 RAHMAN Ali 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% < 1%
18 RUFANOV Maxim - 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6%
19 MARTIN zachary 1% 7% 22% 34% 25% 10% 1%
20 MANDEL Christian - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
21 COHEN Joshua - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
22 KIM Remington - 3% 20% 43% 29% 5%
23 LIN Daniel 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
24 SCHIPPER Johann 2% 19% 45% 28% 6% -
25 BALUCAN Caelus 12% 35% 35% 14% 3% -
26 LA Charles - - 2% 15% 45% 39%
27 KRUGER Mark - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
28 LITTLE Alex - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
29 ZAROTSKY Ronald - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
30 KOHLER Florian 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
31 WILLIAMS Timothy - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
32 MINOTT Nicolas D. 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
33 DU Yiwei - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
34 MARTIN Lucas 19% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
35 HERRON Jonathan - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
36 DAVIDSON James 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
37 BRACCO Cameron 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
38 FU Adrian 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
39 KOU Andrew - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
40 COLE Perrin - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
41 SCHWENK Cody D. 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
42 TOYOFUKU Lucas 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
43 NIE Shuobo 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
44 QIAN Zhixu 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
45 LAURSEN Logan - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
46 CHAO Warren - 3% 17% 38% 35% 6%
47 BAUMAN Colin 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
48 SARMIENTO Luke 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
49 ANDERSON Donald 5% 25% 42% 24% 4% -
50 RAHMAN Zayd - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
51 CHI Kai-Hung 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
52 STOY Patrick 5% 21% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
53 HILLYER Nathan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
54 XUE Chenming 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
55 KOU Mason 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
56 CABLLERO Dylan - 4% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
57 WANG Dylan 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
58 NUGENT Curtis 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
59 HOWE Gavin 9% 45% 35% 9% 1% -
60 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 66% 30% 4% - - -
61 ROLDAN Ethan 29% 44% 23% 5% - -
62 BANGAYAN Anthony 4% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
63 LIAS Richard - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
64 PONCE Ricardo - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
65 CREASON Nicholas 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
66 POPPLEWELL Jonacellus 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
67 COIMBATORE Dillon 46% 41% 12% 2% - -
68 JEFFCOAT Timothy 1% 11% 36% 39% 11% -
69 NOH Daniel 2% 18% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
70 BONTHA Dhruv 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
71 GALLIVAN James 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.