Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
2 XU Che 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
3 SAHAGIAN Izzy C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
3 ONG Jee Ken 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
5 LEHNER Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
6 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 3%
7 MURICO Nicholas 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% -
8 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
9 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
10 WANG Devin 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 3%
11 WONG Preston 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
12 WONG Vansen 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
13 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
14 CHENG Trevor 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 11%
15 LIU Xuyao 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
16 EMERSON Zachary 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
17 RAHMAN Ali 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% < 1%
18 RUFANOV Maxim 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
19 MARTIN zachary 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 11% 1%
20 MANDEL Christian 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
21 COHEN Joshua 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
22 KIM Remington 100% 100% 97% 76% 33% 5%
23 LIN Daniel 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
24 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 98% 79% 34% 6% -
25 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
26 LA Charles 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
27 KRUGER Mark 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
28 LITTLE Alex 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
29 ZAROTSKY Ronald 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
30 KOHLER Florian 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% 1%
31 WILLIAMS Timothy 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
32 MINOTT Nicolas D. 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
33 DU Yiwei 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
34 MARTIN Lucas 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
35 HERRON Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
36 DAVIDSON James 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
37 BRACCO Cameron 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
38 FU Adrian 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
39 KOU Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
40 COLE Perrin 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
41 SCHWENK Cody D. 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
42 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
43 NIE Shuobo 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
44 QIAN Zhixu 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
45 LAURSEN Logan 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
46 CHAO Warren 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 6%
47 BAUMAN Colin 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
48 SARMIENTO Luke 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
49 ANDERSON Donald 100% 95% 70% 28% 4% -
50 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
51 CHI Kai-Hung 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
52 STOY Patrick 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
53 HILLYER Nathan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
54 XUE Chenming 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
55 KOU Mason 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
56 CABLLERO Dylan 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
57 WANG Dylan 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
58 NUGENT Curtis 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
59 HOWE Gavin 100% 91% 46% 10% 1% -
60 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 100% 34% 4% - - -
61 ROLDAN Ethan 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
62 BANGAYAN Anthony 100% 96% 70% 29% 5% -
63 LIAS Richard 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
64 PONCE Ricardo 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
65 CREASON Nicholas 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
66 POPPLEWELL Jonacellus 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
67 COIMBATORE Dillon 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
68 JEFFCOAT Timothy 100% 99% 88% 51% 12% -
69 NOH Daniel 100% 98% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
70 BONTHA Dhruv 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
71 GALLIVAN James 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.