Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Monday, September 1, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Samantha - - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
2 KIM Sydney - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
3 LENK Sophie - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
3 GU Chen 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% 1% -
5 CHEN Renee - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
6 SAIFEE Lamya - - 3% 16% 38% 36% 7%
7 WU Chingfei Amber - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
8 LIU Ariana - 2% 15% 36% 34% 11% 1%
9 YONG Rosalind 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
10 SUN Emily - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
11 XIE Su - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
12 TAO Ann - 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
13 CASTANEDA Keira - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
14 LI Alice 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
15 TROXEL Sylvie A. - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
16 LUO Miranda - 2% 15% 36% 34% 11% 1%
17 SEAL Julie T. - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
18 ZHANG Ivy - 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 3%
19 DESAI Esha 2% 23% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
20 CHEN Jephanie Y. 2% 16% 38% 31% 11% 1% -
21 VILLARAMA Kara 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
22 ZHOU Joi 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
23 HAN Mia 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
24 LEVESQUE Brielle 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
25 GUAN Adeline - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
26 LI Chelsea 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
27 MIYOSHI Kylie 26% 46% 23% 5% - - -
28 JOHNSON Shelby - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
29 CHANG Janelle 20% 46% 26% 7% 1% - -
30 VOROBIEV Alexandra 79% 19% 2% - - - -
31 LUCAS Ava 30% 46% 20% 3% - - -
32 HSIAO Ariya 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
33 BOGDAN Doina < 1% - 2% 12% 32% 39% 14%
34 NORRIS Erin 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.