Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Monday, September 1, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Samantha 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
2 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
3 LENK Sophie 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 GU Chen 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
5 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
6 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 7%
7 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
8 LIU Ariana 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1%
9 YONG Rosalind 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
10 SUN Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
11 XIE Su 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
12 TAO Ann 100% 100% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
13 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 27% 4%
14 LI Alice 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
15 TROXEL Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
16 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
17 SEAL Julie T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
18 ZHANG Ivy 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 3%
19 DESAI Esha 100% 98% 75% 36% 10% 1% -
20 CHEN Jephanie Y. 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
21 VILLARAMA Kara 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
22 ZHOU Joi 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1%
23 HAN Mia 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
24 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
25 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
26 LI Chelsea 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
27 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
28 JOHNSON Shelby 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
29 CHANG Janelle 100% 80% 34% 8% 1% - -
30 VOROBIEV Alexandra 100% 21% 2% - - - -
31 LUCAS Ava 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
32 HSIAO Ariya 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
33 BOGDAN Doina 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 14%
34 NORRIS Erin 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.