Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, September 1, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan - - - - - 9% 90%
2 LI Stephen - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
3 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21%
3 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
5 JU Shang 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
6 LIU Yihong - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
7 MOSLEY Wally - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
8 WONG Kyle - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
9 TIAN Dylan - 1% 5% 20% 38% 31% 6%
10 WU Nathan - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
11 LEE Lucas - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
12 NGUYEN Norris - - 4% 20% 43% 30% 1%
13 YOO Lucas - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
14 GUO Jonathan - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
15 YUN Mason - 1% 8% 27% 42% 21% 1%
16 LI Vance 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9%
17 HWANG Matthew - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
18 LIN Bryan - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
19 ZHANG Jenson - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
20 SHIH Derek - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 7%
21 YI Alexander - 4% 20% 42% 31% 3%
22 TENG Eric - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
23 LIN Logan - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
24 DIRKSEN Jamie 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
25 KOU Logan 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
26 BALUCAN Gabriel - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
27 CHAN Nathan - 4% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
28 YOON Ian 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
29 FU Benjamin - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
30 GUO zhaohong 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% 1%
31 PARK Sihoon 2% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
32 LEE Connor 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
33 WANG Mason - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
34 YIM Antonio - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
35 BOROVIKOV Alexander - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
36 YE Andrew 2% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
37 REN Mark - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
38 HAN Alex 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
39 HONG Eason 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
40 CHO Lincoln 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
41 LAU Jesse 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% -
42 LI John - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
43 DAI Greyson 51% 37% 11% 1% - - -
44 LI Connor 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
45 LO Stefan - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
46 DUCOURNAU Enzo 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
47 LIU Aiden 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
48 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
49 LIU Zihao 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
50 CHU Clayton 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
51 FONG Ethan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
52 HAO Hardy 8% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
53 KIM Hayden 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
54 GONG Rongtao 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
55 PINCHUK Spencer 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
56 HUYNH Ethan 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
57 EVANS Harvey 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
58 LEE Daniel 36% 41% 18% 4% 1% - -
59 KIM Christian 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
60 LI Ethan 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
61 BUSH Andrew < 1% 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
62 LI nathan zeting 19% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
62 WANG Alexander 12% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
64 NISHIOKA Hiro 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
65 YANG XINRUI 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1%
66 SALIM Ethan 29% 43% 22% 5% - -
67 WANG Franklin 12% 34% 36% 16% 2% -
68 AKKARA Skyler 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
69 HAILU Noah 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
70 YANG Rony 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
71 LU Mark 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -
72 TU Austin < 1% 5% 24% 41% 26% 4%
73 GAN Samuel 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.