Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, September 1, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
2 LI Stephen 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
3 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
5 JU Shang 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
6 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
7 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
8 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
9 TIAN Dylan 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 6%
10 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
11 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
12 NGUYEN Norris 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32% 1%
13 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
14 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 36% 7%
15 YUN Mason 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22% 1%
16 LI Vance 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
17 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
18 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
19 ZHANG Jenson 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
20 SHIH Derek 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
21 YI Alexander 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 3%
22 TENG Eric 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
23 LIN Logan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
24 DIRKSEN Jamie 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
25 KOU Logan 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
26 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
27 CHAN Nathan 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 3%
28 YOON Ian 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
29 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
30 GUO zhaohong 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
31 PARK Sihoon 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
32 LEE Connor 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
33 WANG Mason 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
34 YIM Antonio 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
35 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
36 YE Andrew 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
37 REN Mark 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
38 HAN Alex 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
39 HONG Eason 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
40 CHO Lincoln 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
41 LAU Jesse 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% -
42 LI John 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
43 DAI Greyson 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
44 LI Connor 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
45 LO Stefan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
46 DUCOURNAU Enzo 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
47 LIU Aiden 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
48 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
49 LIU Zihao 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
50 CHU Clayton 100% 96% 77% 42% 15% 3% -
51 FONG Ethan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
52 HAO Hardy 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
53 KIM Hayden 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
54 GONG Rongtao 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
55 PINCHUK Spencer 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
56 HUYNH Ethan 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
57 EVANS Harvey 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
58 LEE Daniel 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
59 KIM Christian 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% - -
60 LI Ethan 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
61 BUSH Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
62 LI nathan zeting 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
62 WANG Alexander 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
64 NISHIOKA Hiro 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
65 YANG XINRUI 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
66 SALIM Ethan 100% 71% 27% 5% 1% -
67 WANG Franklin 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
68 AKKARA Skyler 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1% -
69 HAILU Noah 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
70 YANG Rony 100% 87% 46% 14% 2% - -
71 LU Mark 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
72 TU Austin 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 4%
73 GAN Samuel 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.